Wow, was this guy ever spot-on about what would happen if we invaded

Have you ever gone back and re-read articles that predicted the mess that would happen if we invaded Iraq?

I remember reading this article in Fortune magazine just before the war started. In fact the author, Bill Powell, wrote it just two days before Bush's invasion. Here's an excerpt:

"Anti-Americanism will exist. Rebuilding Iraq won't be cheap. And that's if things go well.

The Bush administration desperately needs this to be over quickly.

It needs photos of liberated Iraqis welcoming victorious troops, if not necessarily dancing in the streets and placing flowers in our soldiers' guns. And it needs, in the days following war, tranquility. Calm, not chaos.

It needs all of that, badly, because the costs of the peace, both diplomatic and financial, are going to be enormous--even if things go well inside Iraq. If they don't, the price, in terms of blood and in terms of treasure, could go from enormous to burdensome, even for a country as wealthy and powerful as the U.S."

Please check out the entire article. He pretty much predicted what would happen if things went sour, and they sure did: http://www.mutualofamerica.com/articles/Fortune/March03/fortune.asp



Here's another article, this time by Dorothy Anne Seese. Back in 2002, more than half a year before Chimpy attacked, this lady was talking Armageddon if we invaded:
http://www.politicalusa.com/columnists/seese/seese_106.htm
Here's a couple brief excerpts from her article:

"It seems that any administration that cannot cope with economic distress finds other distractions and fears on which to focus its efforts and its energies. That is yesterday's game. It's time to bring industry back to the US rather than exporting war, because this time around, we'll be importing war on our own soil."

"A futile war effort against Iraq would not only be a political and economic disaster for the United States, it may well be the last war the US ever fights. If, for whatever reason, Iran, China and the League of Arab Nations decide to jump in on Saddam's side of the war, then the US will no longer be a superpower (or the illusion of one), it will be a total has-been on the world's political scene."

I find it interesting to go back and read articles from before the time of the invasion where authors predicted the mess that would occur. It seems all of them knew. All but Bush, that is.

I can't recall a single prediction that hasn't come true or close enough.

No one. The information was there.

The consensus was that we'd get bogged down in a guerilla war that would be impossible to win. We knew that it was all about the oil and war-profiteering.....so do the insurgents.

to do. Too bad shrub didn't listed to daddy . . . :cry:

at the time of the IWR vote, Kerry to Bush:

"If we go it alone without reason, we risk inflaming an entire region and breeding a new generation of terrorists, a new cadre of anti-American zealots - and we will be less secure, not more secure, at the end of the day, even with Saddam Hussein disarmed."

ATROCITIES. VOLTAIRE