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now 55.0 to 45.0 = .4 shift in last update

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Must_B_Free Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-03 12:58 AM
Original message
now 55.0 to 45.0 = .4 shift in last update
was 55.4 to 44.6 when I checked earlier...
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Ediacara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-03 12:59 AM
Response to Original message
1. still only 46% of precincts reporting
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-03 01:01 AM
Response to Original message
2. The numbers just aren't there
It may drop to like 53-47 at best, but there just are not enough precincts out to cover the spread.

I held out for awhile too, and I was outraged that the networks called the race at 8:00, but the election is now over and the recall Arnold movement is on!
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Must_B_Free Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-03 01:03 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. 2 million absentee ballots
how can ytou say the numbers aren't there?

my guess is that the majority of absentees are people who were suspicious of the electronic voting machines, i.e. democrats.
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PROGRESSIVE1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-03 01:08 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. Is is possible that Davis will get more votes than Arnie?
.
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toska Donating Member (180 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-03 01:02 AM
Response to Original message
3. My prediction
It's looking like 53% for recall after projecting the county results so far. Big unknowns are Alameda and Orange County which will probably balance each other.

Other important counties to watch for a Democratic response are Monterey, Los Angeles, Santa Cruz, San Diego
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Terwilliger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-03 01:08 AM
Response to Original message
6. the only thing that would significantly affect outcome is absentee...
or provisional ballots coming in

I don't see it, Must :shrug:
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toska Donating Member (180 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-08-03 01:14 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. May already be included
Many counties like Orange reported votes (200k) with 0 precincts. So I don't think absentee votes will make much difference.
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