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Dean leads in new Iowa poll (Gephardt, Kerry & Clark follow)

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pruner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-14-03 11:59 PM
Original message
Dean leads in new Iowa poll (Gephardt, Kerry & Clark follow)
Wesley Clark’s support lags in Iowa

By Todd Dorman

DES MOINES — Although Wesley Clark is a hot presidential prospect among Democrats nationally, a poll of likely Iowa caucus-goers released Tuesday suggests the retired four-star general is less popular in the state where the fight for the nomination begins in January.

In a poll of 400 Iowa Democrats with a history of caucus attendance, Clark drew support from 7 percent of those surveyed. He placed fourth in the survey, behind former Vermont governor Howard Dean with 23 percent, U.S. Rep. Richard Gephardt of Missouri with 20 percent and U.S. Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts, who drew the backing of 17 percent.

Among those polled, 22 percent have yet to pick a favorite candidate.

The poll was conducted by Washington D.C.-based McLaughlin and Associates on Sept. 30 and Oct. 1 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent. The survey was sponsored by the Alliance to End Hunger, which also asked a battery of questions on hunger and poverty issues.

http://www.qctimes.com/internal.php?story_id=1019068&t=Iowa+%2F+Illinois&c=24,1019068
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dsc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:01 AM
Response to Original message
1. technically a tie
but man this is something. A year ago today he was at something like 2%.
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WillyBrandt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:02 AM
Response to Original message
2. Dean's strategy seems clear
Build up early momentum in starting primary states, and hope to ride the wave to the nomination (to simplify)

I don't know what Clark's is. He's just starting, so he might not have one fully fleshed out. It might be going for a national win, rather than a "sequenced" one. We'll see over the next month or so.
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pruner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:05 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. Dean has a national strategy as well as a state-by-state one
by gaining as much early momentum as he has – and helped by his (relatively) enormous warchest – he's also able to concentate on the states with later primaries, whereas other candidates are focused on either a state-by-state strategy, or a national one.

he has paid staff & offices set up in more states than any other candidate. he's also been running ads in the later markets for longer than any other candidate.
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tedoll78 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:11 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. I'm betting..
that Dean is hoping for a one-two knockout. Win Iowa, knock out Gep. Win New Hampshire, knock out Kerry. Lose South Carolina.

I'm also betting that Clark will become the stop-Dean candidate after IA and NH. And that's perfectly fine by me; I like both of them. :)
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M_Demo_M Donating Member (80 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:23 AM
Response to Reply #5
11. I think after Edwards wins South Carolina
he will be the anti 'Dean' candidate.

And a good thing too!
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carpetbagger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:30 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. Or a neighboring "favorite son", unless he wins OK, TN or VA.
Without good numbers outside SC, his victory becomes only slightly more important than Gephardt winning Missouri.
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 07:08 AM
Response to Reply #11
13. Hi M_Demo_M!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:

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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:02 AM
Response to Original message
3. Since the election isn't till When?
After 3 weeks running, spending 1 town hall meeting in New Hampshire, no organization and some push polls,
Clark in 4th is decent, I say.

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pruner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:12 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. pay attention Frenchie
we're talking about Iowa in this thread.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:14 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. Well aren't they about the same? n/t
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:15 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. Same story in Iowa....
1 town hall meeting...... Got Graham's org, but that was just as of 4 or 5 days ago.
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pruner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:16 AM
Response to Reply #8
10. LOL
Clark was in Iowa a day or two after annoucing.

he's been there several times since, and I'm sure you know that.
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pruner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:15 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. no… Iowa's where Gephardt get's knocked out
New Hampshire's where Kerry goes down.

again, please pay attention. ;)
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