1. Probably about 5 points higher than the vote he will actually poll
That's what all the polls show today. His "vote to re-elect" numbers seem to lag below his approval rating, much like Al Gore's vote lagged 9 points behind Bill Clinton's 57% job approval on election day 2000.
But is it not also possible that a second terrorist attack would have the opposite effect? There are quite a few people who have their doubts about Bush, but support him because of homeland security. A second terrorist attack might cause them to rethink their support of him.
The natural question after a second terrorist attack would seem to be, "What has the Bush administration been doing for the last three years?"
The natural question to ask after Sept 11 was "who screwed up so badly that this happened, and can we put them in jail?". Only the fringe minority (that's us, folks) bothered to ask. Don't hold your breath hoping that the same question will be asked after a rerun.
7. BUsh dropped 40 points in two years, so 10 points lower seems right..
Edited on Fri Oct-31-03 01:13 AM by TruthIsAll
He will be at 40%, but the media will inflate it by 8% and say he is at 48%. Then he will be within striking distance in order for him to Diebold the election.
Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators
Important Notices: By participating on this discussion
board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules
page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the
opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent
the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.