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Dean takes lead in Arizona

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CMT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 04:54 PM
Original message
Dean takes lead in Arizona
Howard Dean leads in a new poll released today in the early primary state of Arizona.

Dean: 32%
Clark: 24%
Lieberman: 15%
Kerry 15%
Gep: 8%
Sharpton 4%
Edwards 1%
Braun 1%
Kucinich under 1%

statewide poll of 540 registered voters conducted Oct 9-16 plus or minus 4.3%

http://www.tucsoncitizen.com/breaking/10_20_03az_dems.html
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killbotfactory Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 04:55 PM
Response to Original message
1. Dean rises, Lieberman sinks
I like these trends.
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otohara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 04:57 PM
Response to Original message
2. Lieberman Skips Iowa For Arizona where....
he's more appreciated, NOT
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pandatimothy Donating Member (254 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-03 06:49 AM
Response to Reply #2
14. He is MORE appriciated in Arizona than Iowa
Just not more than Dean! :)
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VermontDem2004 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 05:02 PM
Response to Original message
3. Just what I expected
Dean supporter here in AZ :hi: but the fact that Arizona is rabid right wing state is simply not true. Tech jobs came here in the early 50s and spurred economic growth and the population but recently most tech jobs went overseas resulting into massive layoffs and really hurting this economy. The people of Arizona want a change and they will be getting one.
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UnapologeticLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 05:48 PM
Response to Reply #3
7. You are in Arizona?
From your handle, I assumed you lived in Vermont!

Mousepads, Shoe Leather, and Hope
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michaud Donating Member (44 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 05:04 PM
Response to Original message
4. Dean For Arizona
I have a feeling the whole Southwest is gonna go Dem this year

New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, and Colorado!!!!!!!!!!
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 05:29 PM
Response to Original message
5. He may have everything west of the Rockies locked up.
Keep it on the QT.
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RevolutionStartsNow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 06:40 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. LOL Westerners love Dean!
So much for the idea that Dean could only do well in the northeast.

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Demobrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 09:20 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. San Francisco likes Dean.
But then everybody knows we're out of goosestep with the rest of CA.
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RevolutionStartsNow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-03 08:38 AM
Response to Reply #12
15. Santa Cruz hates Bush
and loves Dean, though we have plenty of Kucinich supporters here too.

Yep, nice to be part of that "red area" on the CA map that overwhelmingly rejected the recall and Arnie.

Can we help it if the rest of the state is crazy?
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Duder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 05:47 PM
Response to Original message
6. I thought it would be closer
WTG Arizona!
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Desertrose Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 05:57 PM
Response to Original message
8. I'd love to know where they polled.....
540 registered voters throughout Arizona ???

Not a real big pool to judge from from....4.3% margin of error....hmmm

I know there are a fair number of Kucinich people here...in Tucson and also in N Az...

I find that poll to be questionable- knowing the number of DK supporters...hard to believe he's really at under 1%.

Anyone know what kind of poll it was??
hey...don't get mad...I'm just curious.


Peace
DR
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dsc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 07:22 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. It is an excepted law of statistics that a well chosen sample
doesn't have to be all that large to get the MOE you have sited. For the record, what that 4.3% MOE means is that any person's percentage can be from 4.3% lower to 4.3% higher. That range is accurate 95% of the time. In lay terms, 19 out of 20 times, if the real election were held the same day as that poll the results of each candidate woudl fall within the specified range.
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pandatimothy Donating Member (254 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-03 07:41 PM
Response to Original message
11. SWEET!
GO DEAN!!!
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unfrigginreal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-03 03:53 AM
Response to Original message
13. Great News...
and while all of the other candidates concentrate on South Carolina on Feb. 3, Dean will be racking up delegates in Arizona, New Mexico, North Dakota and Oklahoma. I suspect that Gep is a lock in Missouri on the same day and Clark will probably take Delaware.

I'm not conceding SC btw, it's just that other campaigns will probably dedicate more resources to winning there than Dean will. I'll be doing my small part though of driving Dean supporters to the polls.
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