Employees at car dealerships, furniture stores, gas stations and clothing retailers were among the hardest hit by job losses in December, when unemployment climbed to a two-year high.
Workers at department stores bucked the trend that led to the nationwide loss of more than 24,000 total retail jobs last month, but even those companies' stocks — along with the rest of the retail sector — took a beating on Friday after the Labor Department said the unemployment rate had jumped to 5 percent.
"In an overall weak economic environment, employment will be very slow growing and I expect more of the same going forward," said National Retail Federation Chief Economist Rosalind Wells.
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Besides retail, the construction, financial services and manufacturing sectors also shed jobs in December. The government added 31,000 jobs last month, while private employers cut payrolls by 13,000.
Wall Street economists surveyed by Thomson/IFR expected the unemployment rate would rise to 5 percent, but payrolls were expected to grow by 70,000 instead of only 18,000.
Read Full TextExpect payrolls to grow from the private sector?
While on the subject of unemployment figures, over at Will Rahal Financial blog. In his article
Unemployment Threshhold he makes and interesting argument. He provides a table that contains the number of months INTO RECESSION needed to approximate the current (6%) level in the year-on-year percent change in the unemployment rate.
Using unemployment data starting in Nov 1948 and ending in Mar 2001, his average is 3 months. He concludes:
with the exception of November of 1948, this 6% jump in Unemployment is the highest ever found at the start of any recession since WW-II.
As a matter-of-fact, it has taken about 3 months into a typical recession to find this kind of increase in the Unemployment rate!
So, If history is any guide, we could very well be in the second or third month of a recession already!