May 23, 2008
As I See It, 32 Commercial Banks and Thrifts May See the Feces Hit the Fan Blades
by Reggie Middleton
I have identified 32 banks that are $@%%. It's really as simple as that.
I have been publishing the research that I used to build my investment thesis. Thus far we have:
1. Intro: The great housing bull run - creation of asset bubble, Declining lending standards, lax underwriting activities increased the bubble - A comparison with the same during the S&L crisis
2. Securitization - dissimilarity between the S&L and the Subprime Mortgage crises, The bursting of housing bubble - declining home prices and rising foreclosure
3. Counterparty risk analyses - counterparty failure will open up another Pandora's box
4. The consumer finance sector risk is woefully unrecognized, and the US Federal reserve to the rescue
5. Municipal bond market and the securitization crisis - part I
6. An overview of my personal Regional Bank short prospects Part I: PNC Bank - risky loans skating on razor thin capital, PNC addendum Posts One and Two
7. Reggie Middleton says don't believe Paulson: S&L crisis 2.0, bank failure redux
8. More on the banking backdrop, we've never had so many loans!
... I will give you the complete list of what I call the "Deep Doo-Doo Banks".
Safehaven