|
Edited on Sun Aug-24-03 12:58 AM by EconomicsDude
The actual facts are everybody deregulated the electricity market. AB1890 was the bill that did it, and guess what? It passed with 100% of all legislators voting for it. Democrats AND Republicans voted for it. It was then signed into law by Wilson.
The main proponent of AB1890 was Steve Peace, a DEMOCRAT.
So there is more than enough blame to go around on this one.
So Davis did not deregulate anything. However, he did sit around with his head firmly ensonced in his colon for most of the crisis. He claims that lots of new power plants were built under his watch. Its true, but they are almost all high cost peaker plants (i.e., combustion turbines--jet engines basically--and not base load units--combined cycle natural gas fired plants).
A demand response from consumers was desperately needed, but he refused raise rates or allow them to fluctuate with market conditions (thereby getting the demand response). This last one meant that the retail customers saw a low price, and had no incentive to cut back usage. Thus, the demand curve is perfectly inelastic and gave the generators a great deal of market power (i.e., power to set the price). In some hours the price got as high as $1600/MW.
One thing that Davis came up with that was fairly clever was the 20/20 discount plan. Cut your usage by 20% and you can get 20% off your bill. The clever part is that for most residential users cutting usage by 20% is rather difficult, so what happened is lots of people cut 10%, 15% and 18% and so you got a drop in usage and no refund. The problem is that it was more than a few months too late and several billion dollars too short. It was essentially like putting a speed bump in front of runaway semi and pretending that would be sufficient to stop the truck.
Davis was also a dolt for signing long term contracts at the height of the scare. There is an old adage for investing, do not buy high and sell low. That is precisely what Davis did. Now the contracts he entered into are tremendously over priced.
Also, FERC under Clinton did nothing. Initially FERC under Bush did nothing, and then around March of 2001 implemented soft price caps. Remember the crisis became really noticable late in the summer of 2000 (August). However, there were problems earlier. There were studies out there indicating that the generators had market power and were driving prices up.
This mess was a mess that a great many can share blame in. The utilities are also partially to blame for not fighting harder against the silly market structure. For fighting harder for the right to enter long term contracts from day one. For agreeing to the forzen retail rate. For not seeing the problems associated with a constrained transmission system would pose for market power.
A staffer hurried up to ISO chief executive Jeffrey Tranen with a note. The $1 price tag, set by the power generators, had shot up to $2,500. Then, just as suddenly, it spiked again to $5,000, where it stayed for three hours.
After that, it mysteriously dropped again, all the way back to $1.
Four days later it happened again, but this time the price went to $9,999 and stayed there for four hours. Then it dropped to a penny.
I don't recall which one, but this was in one of the ancillary services markets. Such things as spining reserves, non-spining reserves, regulation, etc. This is what prompted the price cap. The problem was that the price cap itself was quite high, $250/MW. Then as the crisis worsened it was moved up to $500/MW then to $760/MW. The price followed the cap (i.e., when the cap went up, so did the price). Then in December, IIRC the cap was removed entirely and the price skyrocketed, in some hours going well over $1,000/MW. This wasn't for the small ancillary services market, but the general market with tens of thousand of MW.
Oh yeah, nobody could bit infinity, the bid field was a 16 digit field. Thus, the max bid could have been
$9,999,999,999,999,999.
Of course since that is more than the U.S. GDP for an entire year it might as well be infinity.
<i>Faced with this assault, the utilities set their own ground rules. They would break up their monopolies if the state let them charge customers for "stranded costs" -- debts from nuclear power projects and other costs they believed they'd eat in a competitive market. Wilson, who'd collected $120,000 in campaign contributions from the utilities, agreed that the utilities should collect $16 billion in stranded costs from ratepayers.</i>
This is misleading. The utilities were already allowed to recover their stranded costs. The proposed deregulation plan simply accelerated the collection of the stranded costs.
Its also worth remembering that some of those stranded costs were incurred at the direction of the state. Filed rate doctrine holds that when the state orders a utility to make an investment that later turns out bad, then the utility can recover that money.
|