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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 12:26 PM
Original message
Halfway through the longest build in history
Halfway through the longest build in history
22 May 2009

Resumed construction has been under way at Watts Bar 2 for the last 18 months, but a visitor would find it hard to see much happening. Because construction of the plant was once abandoned, the current $2.49 billion project to turn it on by 2012 requires more assessment than actual building work. By Will Dalrymple

Construction of two 1200MWe Westinghouse PWR reactors at Watts Bar in southern Tennessee began in 1973, and carried on until 1985, when unit 1 was basically finished. That year, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission raised many questions that needed to be answered before unit 1 could be licensed (and it took another 11 years until the plant started commercial operation). Plant owner and operator Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) created a plan to address these issues in 1985, but ceased construction on unit 2 at that time, having finished major structures, including pressure vessel, steam generators, pressurizer, turbines, condenser, generator and switchyard transformers, and having installed systems such as the reactor coolant piping.

In a 2007 letter to the NRC, TVA explained why it wanted to restart the project. It said that proceeding with the completion and operation of WBN Unit 2 is the best decision for TVA and the Tennessee Valley in terms of power supply, power price, generation mix, return on investment, use of existing assets, and avoidance of environmental impacts (by building new fossil-fuel plants, or siting new nuclear power stations elsewhere).

Although Watts Bar 2 is the first US nuclear construction project in almost 20 years, it is really closer to a restart than a new-build. In fact, TVA’s experience restarting Browns Ferry 1 in Alabama was a major influence. “With a rising demand for more baseload generation, TVA restarted Browns Ferry Nuclear unit 1 in June 2007, and the success of that recovery project helped us to understand what it would take to complete Watts Bar 2,” Ashok Bhatnagar, senior vice president of TVA’s nuclear generation development & construction, said recently.

Construction began on the three-reactor ...
http://www.neimagazine.com/story.asp?sc=2053037




Interesting insight into the decisionmaking processes behind the nuts and bolts of nuclear power.
Among other points I was struck by the claim made by plant engineers when the project was shut down - that the plant was 90% complete. It turns out it was only 60% complete.
Honest mistake, difference of opinion or bait and switch?
Any way you look at it the conflict between the claims then and now are troubling.
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NNadir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 01:07 PM
Response to Original message
1. In comparison to what? The 50 year record of the "solar will save us" industry to produce as much
energy as Watts Bar will produce in a single building?

As usual, this is just selective attention, with a little bit of arsonists claiming to fight fires.

The reactor should have been completed in the 1970's and if it had, it would have saved hundreds of millions of tons of dumped dangerous fossil fuel waste.

However ignorance prevented this from happening.

Ignorance is having a tough time lately and the ignorant are whistling in the dark very loudly about their "nuclear is dead" meme, which is in fact, not looking so healthy itself.
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 02:41 PM
Response to Original message
2. Weak. I wouldn't consider the two decades that the plants wasn't worked on as "under construction".
Edited on Thu Apr-15-10 03:10 PM by Statistical
As far as 90% vs 60% it is very easy to understand.

1) Major components were cannibalized from #2 to be used as spares in #1 (the plants were identical making parts matching a snap). Just because plant was 90% complete in 1985 doesn't mean that it is the same today after two decades of canibalization.

2) Requirements have changed in terms of material specs. Components not meeting code have to be replaced. This actually takes LONGER than just installed new components because old components need to be removed, then new components installed, then repairs to surrounding structure made.

3) Effect of age on manmade objects. The plant like any manmade machine wasn't designed to sit 25 years without any operation or maintenance. Some parts simply failed over the years and will need to be replaced. Try building a car to 90% complete and then let it sit in a garage for 25 years without operation or maintenance. Would you be surprised that it needs more than 10% work to get it running?

Only a small portion of the $2.5 billion is being spent on construction.



A significant amount of money is being spent on research (it is a 40 year old design which has been sitting for 25 years) and inspections to determine exactly what needs to be replaced, repaired, or modified.


Also in late 2007 began the years-long job of pulling out and replacing 27,000 copper-nickel alloy condenser tubes, whose material properties are now obsolete, with stainless steel alloy. As of March 2009, the job is halfway done. Workers are inspecting and replacing packing in penetrations – where pipes or cables go through concrete walls – and their seals.

Engineering walkdowns – where someone walks through the plant, following pipes with blueprints to make sure that what is supposed to have been installed actually is – also started fairly early in the process. Some valves, pumps and electrical components are missing. Over the years, staff at Watts Bar 1 have occasionally harvested components from Watts Bar 2, rather than waiting a week or more for a new part to arrive from a manufacturer.


I love Watts Bar #2. It is always ignored by the media. They use the term "no NEW reactor construction in 30 years". Watts Bar coming online in 2013 will be a huge step forward to clean, reliable, emission free power in this country.
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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. They cannibalized 30% of a nearly complete plant for parts in a just completed plant?
Never let it be said that the nuclear industry sales force lacks imagination...
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 04:57 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. "Just completed"? You are aware Watts Bar 1 has been generating power for 14 years right?
Edited on Thu Apr-15-10 05:02 PM by Statistical
Also cannibalization of parts was only one source of degradation in completion percentile. It was all explained in the article.

Cannibalization + Regulatory Changes + Obsolete Components + Part failures due to decades of age = 30% of plant needs to be "rebuilt"

Many components are no longer to spec. Did you happen to not notice the quote on the removal of thousands of condenser tubes made of copper (stainless steel in now used to avoid corrosion) that were replaced?

All of the instrumentation had to be replaced. Many large components were damaged for decades of non-use.

Like I said take any manmade object (fighter plane, automobile, wind turbine) and let it sit for two decades without use and a substantial amount of components will need to be replaced.


The reality is in late 2012 or early 2013 Watts Bar will go critical. The first new criticality in decades.

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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 05:02 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. You are making it up as you go along...
just like any good salesman.

But actually you're not very good because you tend to rely far too much on ad libs that are obviously false.
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 05:05 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. You simply didn't read the article you linked to.
Edited on Thu Apr-15-10 05:07 PM by Statistical
Sorry if you can't read. That isn't my fault.

2013 - Mark your calender Kristopher. It will be the first of many new nuclear reactors in this country.
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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 05:20 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Really? 5 years to build 40% = about 12.5 years for BUILDING a complete plant
I know I've seen that number in quite a few places as the industry norm, too. So that means it is confirmation of the numbers you claim are "made up".

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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 05:25 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Apples and oranges.
Edited on Thu Apr-15-10 05:25 PM by Statistical
TVA spent years "unbuilding" and inspecting the existing plant.
They didn't just start slapping on new parts for 5 years and call it a win.

2013 - Watts Bar #2 will go critical
2016 - Vogtle #3 will go critical
2017 - Vogtle #4 will go critical
2018 - North Anna #3 will go critical

Obama pushing for loan guarantees for a dozen reactors.
26 reactors under planning/approval by the NRC.

You are on the wrong side of history man.
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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 05:27 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. nope
From the IEA:
Summary : The paper studies how the risks specific to a nuclear power investment in liberalised markets – regulatory, construction, operation and market risks – can be mitigated or transferred away from the plant investor through different contractual and organisational arrangements. It argues that at least for the first new reactors significant risk transfers onto governments, consumers, and, vendors are likely to be needed to make nuclear power attractive to investors in liberalised markets. These different types of risk allocations will in turn induce different investment financing choices. Four case studies of recent new nuclear projects illustrate the alternative consistent combinations of contractual, organization, and financial arrangements for new nuclear build depending on the industrial organisation, the market position of the company and the institutional environment prevailing in different countries. The most likely financing structure will likely be based on corporate financing or some form of hybrid arrangement backed by the balance sheet of one or a consortium of large vertically integrated companies.


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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 05:32 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Keep spinning man.
2013 - Watts Bar #2 will go critical
2016 - Vogtle #3 will go critical
2017 - Vogtle #4 will go critical
2018 - North Anna #3 will go critical

After that...
Comanche Peak? South Texas? Turkey Point?



62% of American's now support nuclear energy.


Why would politicians care what 38% of Americans think (and of those how many really care enough to hold it against them politically)?
If Obama gets funding for 12 reactors are you going to hold it against him? Vote against him?


Wrong side of history man. Not just US, but Europe, China, Korea & Japan. Plus tons of new nuclear powers like UAE, Turkey, Vietnam.
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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 06:25 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Nope- the same people who support nuclear also support coal and petroleum
Associated Press/Stanford University Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media. Nov. 17-29, 2009. N=1,005 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

"In general, would you favor or oppose building more nuclear power plants at this time?"
Favor 49 Oppose 48 Unsure 3


***********************************************************************

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 16-18, 2009. N=1,038 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

“To address the country’s energy needs, would you support or oppose action by the federal government to ?” (Half Sample)

"Increase coal mining"
Support 52, Oppose 45, Unsure 3


"Build more nuclear power plants"
Support 52, Oppose 46, Unsure 2


"Develop more solar and wind power"
Support 91, Oppose 8, Unsure 1


"Increase oil and gas drilling"
Support 64, Oppose 33, Unsure 3

"Develop electric car technology"
Support 82, Oppose 17, Unsure 2

"Require more energy conservation by businesses and industries"
Support 78, Oppose 20, Unsure 2

"Require more energy conservation by consumers like yourself"
Support 73, Oppose 25, Unsure 3

"Require car manufacturers to improve the fuel-efficiency of vehicles sold in this country"
Support 85, Oppose 14, Unsure 1

Asked of those who support building more nuclear power plants:
"Would you favor or oppose building a nuclear power plant within 50 miles of your home?"
Favor 66, Oppose 33

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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 06:37 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. 6 month old poll before Obama came out very pro-nuclear.
Majority of Americans support nuclear power + President supports nuclear power.

Private funding has been obtained for nuclear power.
Govt funding has been secured for nuclear power.

All your boogeyman scare tactics are tired because they haven't changed in three decades.

Nuclear energy is happening. Just accept it.
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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-15-10 06:45 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. it moved a point or two, that's all.
The gallup poll is specifically worded to capture ambivalent feelings and energy security fears as a false reading on support for nuclear.

When asked specifically this is what you get; the same people who support nuclear also want more coal plants and more drilling for oil:

Associated Press/Stanford University Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media. Nov. 17-29, 2009. N=1,005 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

"In general, would you favor or oppose building more nuclear power plants at this time?"
Favor 49 Oppose 48 Unsure 3


***********************************************************************

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 16-18, 2009. N=1,038 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

“To address the country’s energy needs, would you support or oppose action by the federal government to ?” (Half Sample)

"Increase coal mining"
Support 52, Oppose 45, Unsure 3


"Build more nuclear power plants"
Support 52, Oppose 46, Unsure 2


"Develop more solar and wind power"
Support 91, Oppose 8, Unsure 1


"Increase oil and gas drilling"
Support 64, Oppose 33, Unsure 3

"Develop electric car technology"
Support 82, Oppose 17, Unsure 2

"Require more energy conservation by businesses and industries"
Support 78, Oppose 20, Unsure 2

"Require more energy conservation by consumers like yourself"
Support 73, Oppose 25, Unsure 3

"Require car manufacturers to improve the fuel-efficiency of vehicles sold in this country"
Support 85, Oppose 14, Unsure 1

Asked of those who support building more nuclear power plants:
"Would you favor or oppose building a nuclear power plant within 50 miles of your home?"
Favor 66, Oppose 33

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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-16-10 02:07 AM
Response to Reply #13
14. Your polls are much older than Statisticals. Why the misinformation?
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Nihil Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-16-10 05:14 AM
Response to Reply #14
15. That's one of the main weapons in his arsenal.
(After ^C ^V of course :evilgrin: )
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-16-10 07:08 AM
Response to Reply #14
16. Because he can't find any recent poll showiing such low support for nuclear power.
Kinda like a member of KKK using a poll from 1940s to prove that today only a small % of Americans support civil rights amendment.
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kristopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-17-10 12:44 AM
Response to Reply #16
17. 5 months isn't old.
You love to use that Gallup poll because it's all-of-the-above wording (specifically "as one of the ways") captures the energy security anxiety, not the actual feeling towards nuclear power. When asked a forced choice yes/no, approve/oppose type of question the statistics have changed little over the past ten years. Support for nuclear goes up and down within about a 5 point range of 47% approval and the trend directly tracks concern over energy - people become fearful and they want the government to try everything.

In contrast, wind and other renewables have remained almost completely static at 91% approval plus/minus 1 point.
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