11% reporting (absentees) Busby (D) down 43-51... did GOP bet on earlies?

expatriot

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Tue Jun-06-06 11:11 PM
Original message

11% reporting (absentees) Busby (D) down 43-51... did GOP bet on earlies?

I saw where the national GOP strategy this fall relies on the absentee ballot since they think discouraged conservatives and republicans will stay home on election day.
early results are saying that with 11% reporting (all absentee ballots), GOP is up 51-43... did GOP put all bets on earlies? if so, this could be good news.

http://www.pe.com/ap_news/California2/CA_ELN_Congress_San_Diego_240316CA.shtml

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papau

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Tue Jun-06-06 11:14 PM
Response to Original message

1. that is a 3000 vote lead with 300000 votes to go. n/t

N/t

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Betsy Ross

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Tue Jun-06-06 11:15 PM
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2. Absenty ballots typically fabor the Repukes. n/t

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MADem

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Wed Jun-07-06 01:13 AM
Response to Reply #2

9. Too lazy to get off their flaccid asses and stand in line??? NT

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Journeyman

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Tue Jun-06-06 11:15 PM
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3. I think absentee ballots traditionally trend Republican. . .

so the election's still wide open. The LA Times has already called a few elections, based on exit polls, but not this one -- not even considered in early election reporting.

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AtomicKitten

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Tue Jun-06-06 11:38 PM
Response to Reply #3

6. funny because Rs claims Dems cheat via absentee ballots

It has been my experience that Rs always complain about the very thing they are doing themselves.

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DoYouEverWonder

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Wed Jun-07-06 04:52 AM
Response to Reply #6

10. Yes, beware of absentee voting

The Repugs have targeted these votes since at least the 2000 election.

One of the things they do is to go after the inactive voter lists. Lot's of votes to steel there.

The other trick they use, especially in poor neighborhoods, is to find elderly, illiterate people to 'help' vote. The voter signs a legitimate ballot but they have no clue who they actually voted for. Repugs are pros at using absentee ballots to steal votes.

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snowbear

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Tue Jun-06-06 11:39 PM
Response to Reply #3

7. I don't think so either..

Not in my experience anyway. :shrug:

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Rose Siding

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Tue Jun-06-06 11:22 PM
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4. They were counting on a 10K lead in absentees

From The Chairman ...
NRCC Chair Tom Reynolds (NY) said earlier today that, based on an analysis of absentee returns in CA 50, ex-Rep. Brian Bilbray (R) held about a 10K vote lead. Reynolds added, however, that he wouldn�t make any predictions at this early stage.
http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2006/06/from_the_chairm.html

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snowbear

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Tue Jun-06-06 11:36 PM
Response to Original message

5. Is there a site showing the results coming in?

I hope Busby starts moving up!!

If LOBBYIST Bilbry wins, that's all we'll hear about tomorrow.. Well, that and the bogus senate vote taking place.

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fooj

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Tue Jun-06-06 11:44 PM
Response to Reply #5

8. Here's the gov. site...

http://vote.ss.ca.gov/Returns/usrep/5000.htm

It looks good so far...

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