Busby >> Bilbray race

The other thread had the results site in a reply.. We need one with the site on the first page!

--->> http://www.sdvote.org/election/congress.xml

Currently..

Bilbry -- 20,866 - 50.63%
Busby --- 17,693 - 42.94%

57 out of 500 precincts reporting so far.

Go Francine Go!

Bilbry still leads.

21,602 to 18,560

It's still early...

Busby's on the move. . .

I hope this turns out like the Virginia race.. We were all fretting because Tim Kaine's opponent was in the lead forever. Then out of the blue, the numbers started going in our favor.

C'mon Francine.. start moving some more!

C'mon numbers MOVE in Francine's direction!

24,786 Bilbry
21,269 Busby

Sheesh..

..doesn't seem to be coming true yet.

W. GRIFFITH - IND
2108
4.30%

:yourock:

..and she keeps eeking up until she bypasses him!

BRIAN BILBRAY - REP
26637
50.02%

FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM
23461

C'mon Francine!

BRIAN BILBRAY - REP
28568
49.67%

FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM
25605
44.52%

Sometimes I have found that but not tonight. A site where the locals know the specific precincts and can identify the trends based on those numbers as they come in. Otherwise we're just looking at slowly updated raw numbers and no clue where Busby needs to be, based on the precincts already counted.

BRIAN BILBRAY - REP
30683
49.80%

FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM
27383
44.44%

* edit: in this latest count, looks like Bilbray gained a slight bit more than Busby.

The difference was 2,973 votes.. now it's 3,300.

Still.. moved in the right direction..

San Diego has to be the slowest reporting area in the nation.

edit to add...

BRIAN BILBRAY - REP
33468
49.59%

FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM
30190
44.74%


Getting closer and closer to that 50% of precincts reporting and she just can't quite catch up to him..

Edit to say.. he still holds a 3,055 vote lead

U.S. REPRESENTATIVE 50TH DISTRICT - (RUN-OFF)

Precincts: 500
Counted: 232
Percentage: 46.4%

Vote for: 1
BRIAN BILBRAY - REP
35505
49.67%

FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM
31955
44.70%


Do we have any hope??

she's slowly catching up....

almost half of the precincts are counted now though, so she'll need to catch up quite a bit soon for her to have a chance.

US HOUSE Ohio 2nd Dist
753 precincts of 753 reporting JEAN SCHMIDT 57,974 52% (W)
PAUL HACKETT 54,401 48%



The next time they provide an update, she has to seriously start catching up to him!

Precincts: 500
Counted: 255
Percentage: 51.0%
----------

BRIAN BILBRAY - REP
37593
49.66%

FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM
33945
44.84


Does anyone thing she'll be able to catch up? Or is it still too early?

Almost posted it but didn't want to jinx a potential Busby comeback.

Heavy red districts that we're trying to steal.

In November the districts like this will not flip either. That +40 or anything close to that is preposterous. We need to reverse the low to mid GOP-leaning districts, and pick up the +15 seats.

BRIAN BILBRAY - REP
40123
49.82%

FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM
36005
44.71%

Now Bilbray is up 4118 votes. :(

U.S. REPRESENTATIVE 50TH DISTRICT - (RUN-OFF)
Counted: 331 of 500 precincts – 66.2 percent
BRIAN BILBRAY - REP 44692 49.69%
FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM 40371 44.89%

It looks like the percentage is getting closer but Bilbray now leads by 4,321 votes which is 203 more than last time. :(

Regardless of how many votes come in..

Something strange seems to be going on.

I thought she would squeak by, but this difference is larger than I would've ever thought. I can only think that the statement she made about illegals not needing papers has cost her the election.

They aren't yet declaring it's over for Busby; just that Bilbray maintained a lead throughout the entire count so far..

http://www.montereyherald.com/mld/montereyherald/14757112.htm

If this keeps up and he wins, I wonder how the media will spin this tomorrow?

I'm sick and tired of "moral" victories. We need to win some of these kinds of seats if we are going to take over the House of Representatives

diebold machines?? Sure seems suspicious like you say.

Down to 2900 at one point, then slowly up through the 3000s, now 4300

The bulk of the margin is the absentees, which were counted first.

BRIAN BILBRAY - REP
50284
49.64%

FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM
45649
45.06%

...think we can pull it off in November? I hope so...

is up to 4,635. :(

Precincts: 500
Counted: 392
Percentage: 78.4%

Vote for: 1
BRIAN BILBRAY - REP
50284
49.64%

FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM
45649
45.06%

Next time, make sure the people you're pandering to can vote.

I wonder at what point they declare Bilbray the winner? When he hits the 51% mark, or when they're 75 or 80% done?

Anyone know?

U.S. REPRESENTATIVE 50TH DISTRICT - (RUN-OFF)
Counted: 451 of 500 precincts – 90.2 percent
BRIAN BILBRAY - REP 56016 49.49%
FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM 51202 45.24%

Again it looks like the percentage is tightening but Bilbrays lead is now 4,814. Damn, I think it's over :evilfrown:

BRIAN BILBRAY - REP
56016
49.49%

FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM
51202
45.24%

Time for Busby to concede...

We have to remember how RED this area is.. Maybe it won't be spun too bad.. 49% to 45% isn't exactly a landslide..

I hate coming close!!!! Coming close isn't going to get us in control of Congress.

We need to pick up these kind of seats if we're going to win in November. We can't let these opportunities slip by. There just aren't that many competitive seats.

If you add the right-wing indie's vote to Bilbray it's about the same as Bush V Kerry was in the seat. Not good.

it is, BUT she has another chance in November, remember this election was for the fill in and hopefully we will get the Indies and the Greens and others to vote in the November for her and Busby just has to keep attacking him while he is in office, PLUS in November more people will be out to vote. I think this looks aweful for the Republicans.

if this looks awful for rethugs I'd hate to see what looks good! We have to start winning these seats!

People predicted she would lose by 4% points. So I'm not surprised. But I was a hoping they would be wrong. I still say its bad news for Repubs. That should have been an easy district to win. Remember, this was an off election and she has another chance in November

but these are the kind of races we have to win to take congress back. There are only so many competitive races and this one was considered one of the easier ones to pick up. If we don't win these we are the ones who look awful.

Does Bilbray have to get to 51% ?

Seems that they said on CNN the winner needed 51%... but I'm not sure. If he winds up just short of that, wonder if they'd go to a run-off without the other two guys?

G'night. :boring:

First thing I thought of waking up today..

It was close and it sounds as though they fought a good fight. As everyone said, this is a conservative area, filled with lots of Navy retirees. There's been plenty of time since the Dukester's conviction for the conservative news media to paper over the disgust of their right wing fans and help them rationalize the whole sordid affair. If only Dems had as much media saturation.

It's still very good news, the margin is much smaller and it appears the GOP has lost a great deal of support in a "guaranteed" conservative district. Congrats to the Dems on a job well done, anyway. I'm sure they'll do even better next time.

But didnt Dems try to run on an open border policy ... in san diego of all places? 'nuff said.

I live in Ohio, so I don't know. I love the area, have vacationed there, would love to retire there (I have a spot picked out on Coronado Island, now I just have to win the lottery ;-)).

You make a good point, however. That's why the GOP is bringing up these wedge issues - to split support. I anticipate they're hoping for similar affect on the gay marriage amendment, forcing senate Dems to vote on the stupid thing to hurt them in races where Repubs are behind (like Sherrod Brown vs DeWine here in Ohio).

The trick, I suppose, is to keep everyone from focusing on the wedge issues and finding some way to defuse them.

And they lost. When about 60% to 70% depending on polls say they are against something do not be to suprised if you lose supporting it. That is democracy.

She could best be described as a very liberal Democrat, and very interested in environmental issues. She chose my NC area because of the thriving job market. But she told me she LEFT San Diego because she had illegal immigrants literally running through her backyard, night and day, and camping out. She lived in Suburbia. She was afraid for herself, her pets, and she could no longer even enjoy watching the birds at her bird feeder.

I'm guessing there is a possibility that even some Dems deserted Busby. Maybe they voted for the Independent candidate or were so angry at her "pandering statement" that they just stayed home.

:(

Let's see if the margin can be about 3 points. That will give her a cahnce for an even closer race in November. She can do it still, I think...

BRIAN BILBRAY - REP
60319
49.33%

FRANCINE BUSBY - DEM
55587
45.46%

W. GRIFFITH - IND
4492
3.67%

PAUL KING - LIB
1875
1.53%