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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:10 PM
Original message
Hillary Surges in New Hampshire following debate
Barely 24 hours after the Democratic candidates for president squared off in an often-feisty debate, the first verdict from New Hampshire voters is in.

Fresh results from our exclusive WBZ-Franklin Pierce College Poll indicate Senator Clinton was winner Sunday night -- even after a debate that included some of the sharpest exchanges yet between Clinton and her chief competitors over her voting record on the war in Iraq.

-snip

Our poll shows 45 percent of voters scored Hillary the winner, compared with only eight percent for Obama and four percent for Edwards.



http://wbztv.com/keller/local_story_155224247.html

Full poll results: WBZ/Franklin Pierce Poll

http://static.cbslocal.com/station/wbz/wbz/2007/june/debateresults.pdf

If voting now compared to (March).

Clinton: 38 (32)
Obama: 16 (25)
Edwards: 13 (15)

The rest in single digits.


I don't know about anybody else, but this is a lot more than I expected for Clinton and a lot less than I expected for Obama.


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Tellurian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:16 PM
Response to Original message
1. The people are watching and listening...
They have the confidence if they elect Hillary, (and Bill) she will turn the country back to the prestige we once had from the World in the 90's. And quickly undue the damage Bush has done to our military and the middle class.
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lvx35 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:19 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I take it you're a Hillary backer. Out of curiosity, who do you like for VP?
After the debates I'm thinking it won't be Edwards. Do you see Biden? Obama?
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murray hill farm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:24 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. I sure would love to see
A Clinton/Obama ticket! Now, that would be a winner...and Obama would then be set for 2016. And, of course they would be a great team not only for the party, but for the country and the world.
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polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:59 PM
Response to Reply #5
17. That actually seems likely to me...
They are very polite toward each other these days ~ makes me wonder.
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lvx35 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 04:04 PM
Response to Reply #17
20. Yeah, I noticed Hillary give Obama a look during the debates.
Like she was impressed with him or something, it was unmistakable and friendly, especially in contrast to her burn of Edwards.
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polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 04:13 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. I saw that...
And several times recently when they've crossed paths, they looked affectionate in the shot. I'm sure each at least appreciates the other's sharp mind, and he seems deferential toward her. He may just be playing his cards right ~ but it sure would be a terrific ticket!
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 05:09 PM
Response to Reply #20
28. They were definitely at ease with each other
I loved that look at Edwards, though. :scared:
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lvx35 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 12:32 AM
Response to Reply #28
32. Man, I would have loved to see Clark there.
They would have tried to put him on the edges, but his presence is just so commanding, he would have looked like a winner for sure.
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Tellurian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:31 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. Biden is impressive..
But as someone said, we can't pull our entire Executive Branch out of the senate, because we'll lose the majority there. I think we'll have to wait and see what strategy comes into play. If the Governor of a state is a (D), we know we can get another Dem to fill in for an outgoing Dem appointed by the Governor, until the next election cycle.
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:19 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. I was surprised
I thought Hillary and Obama would split the difference. They were both so good.
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polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:20 PM
Response to Original message
4. Not surprising to me...
As someone just watching at this point (working on a get out the vote campaign instead of for a candidate), I think she hit it out of the ballpark this time. She knows her stuff and it showed.
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:26 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. She was great, I agree
But I thought Obama was much better than this poll indicates.
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polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:43 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. Obama's style is great...I always enjoy watching him.
But he's light in substance and I think people are wondering if he's their savior after all. He may surge again, there's plenty of time.
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 04:02 PM
Response to Reply #11
19. But do you an 8% rating as to be expected?
Hillary's rise in voting numbers I do get. That's based on different criteria.
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polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 04:08 PM
Response to Reply #19
21. Hmm, I don't know...
Was he ever a "rock star" in New Hampshire? It's a state I know little about, but I'll bet they're less impressed with the latest trends than a state like CA.
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:27 PM
Response to Original message
7. not surprising to me. It wasn't a "freepable" online poll
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:32 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. There's 37% unsure...
Besides, the key to NH will be independent voters...
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:36 PM
Response to Original message
10. I have to say that she was very good. Collected, calm, measured, humorous,
Edited on Tue Jun-05-07 03:38 PM by FrenchieCat
and concise (Obama has to work on that last one in debating venues....)

It is true in the end that the American people probably prefer to support someone who's more or less been there, done that. The country is really screwed up, and it will take some real knowledge to get us out of the mess we are in. In my opinion, that is why she is leading, because no matter if she was not President, she has the resources of a past presidency like nobody's business.

This is also why Gore has got so much support although he isn't even running. Many Americans are simply apprehensive of supporting those who will be learning by trial and error and they would prefer not to take a chance, as there is no margin left for errors. It's just the way that it is, and there is a clear rationale for it.

The mood of this country is really not for something "Fresh and Different" as much as the CW states over and over again......rather many want the "tried and tested", IMO.
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Tellurian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:48 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. Where we are all tired of the word experience..
Edited on Tue Jun-05-07 03:49 PM by Tellurian
a word I like is "seasoning/seasoned"...Hillary draws from a wealth of seasoning as she thinks before answering a question. Her answers will stand up under scrutiny because her answers are based on a strategic plan worked out in advance. We all agree, Obama is intelligent, but he lacks the seasoning that can only come with time, like a good wine.
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polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:55 PM
Response to Reply #12
15. Nicely said...
She is well seasoned and has a crackerjack mind!
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Auntie Bush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 04:01 PM
Response to Reply #12
18. Hillary is the seasoned salt and Obama is the wine.
I would feel so safe under a Clinton/Clark team. The whole world
would rejoice!
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polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:52 PM
Response to Reply #10
14. That's true, this mess requires a formidable leader...
I really don't know why anyone would want the job right now!
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MGKrebs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 04:21 PM
Response to Reply #10
24. I think you're right.
In times like these, people may want some degree of change, but they are insecure enough to not want any surprises either. Perhaps Hillary is less of a mystery than the others. Even if people say they don't like her, they might vote for her perceived competence vs. the relative inexperience of the others.
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durrrty libby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:49 PM
Response to Original message
13. The more Hillary is out there,the better people will like her
She has IT:applause: :applause: :applause:
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ElizabethDC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 03:58 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. That seems to be the case
My mom was only lukewarmly supporting Hillary (because she's a woman, etc.) but after watching the debate, she's now totally pumped to support Hillary and wants to get involved with the campaign, etc.
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Cameron27 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 04:16 PM
Response to Original message
23. I'm not surprised either,
since she did so well in the debate, and I also thought Obama would have been higher. Interesting that KOS polls so differently.
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bigdarryl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 04:35 PM
Response to Original message
25. Frank Lutz said the voters responded favorably to Edwards with his meter survey
Edited on Tue Jun-05-07 04:38 PM by bigdarryl
he had 32 democrats who were undecided and they all like Edwards the way he connected to the voters. They thought Obama was TERRIBLE!! and though Biden came in second place.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 05:03 PM
Response to Reply #25
27. Yeah......Oookay! Whatever Frank Lutz and his say......
think opposite! :eyes:

Republican Operative Frank Luntz is the author of the new book "Words that Work: It's Not What You Say, It's What People Hear"
http://thinkprogress.org/index.php?p=309
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 05:35 PM
Response to Reply #25
29. I was surprised by that; Edwards to me had a bad night
I also thought Hillary won on assertiveness alone. The first-half hour was miserable for her (saying we were safer now than in 2001, trashing the Iraqis and getting backed into a corner on not having read the NIE), but she essentially owned the last 45 minutes of the debate and that's what most people walked away with. Edwards was very aggressive and it mostly backfired on him. I trust th results of this poll more than Luntz' groupthink panel.
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derby378 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 04:58 PM
Response to Original message
26. Where's my aspirin?
Sorry, Hillary-backers, but she still reaches me as Republican-lite. Please convince me otherwise.
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MGKrebs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 06:23 PM
Response to Reply #26
30. I'm not so much a Hillary backer as a "give Hillary a chancer", but
I would say this: I think it is quite possible that she has (and probably ALWAYS has) taken a long-view perspective of things. I suspect that she knows that as a Democrat and a woman, she MUST appear more hawkish than she would prefer in order to succeed at this task, and if she wants that appearance to be convincing, she must BE more hawkish than she would prefer. By this theory, she would have been able to rationalize that some time ago so that her record and her behavior are consistent and substantial. I would assume this takes a lot of confidence- to be able to 'be' hawkish but not overly so- in her judgment and communication ability, and I certainly hope she is up to the task, because if she wins and something like N. Korea flares up, I wouldn't want her with an itchy trigger finger just out of habit or just for appearances.

As time goes by I personally am becoming more confidant in her ability to keep this in perspective. She seems pretty quick to raise her hand when the question is about whether to be tough or not, but she usually finds a way to soften or qualify the initial bold statement with insight and reason. Some may call this triangulation, but I think triangulation is a good thing for a successful candidate. This isn't an issue advocacy group trying to advance their own agenda. This is the person who has to listen to all the issue advocacy groups and find a path forward.

Anyway, I suppose you could take the same scenario and substitute other issues, but I don't know what they are. She's pretty good on choice, environment, arts, wildlife, civil rights, education, labor, poverty, and veterans. On trade I don't hold the same distaste for NAFTA that many other liberals do, but she says she wants to revise that anyway. I think it's her hawkishness that is the deal-breaker for many, and, so far, I'm thinking she might be capable of stepping up to the brink to overcome historic perceptions without losing her balance.


http://www.vote-smart.org/issue_rating_category.php?can_id=55463
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-05-07 06:26 PM
Response to Reply #30
31. Hillary is already running a general election campaign.
It could prove to be brilliant strategy if she gets the nod.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 01:06 AM
Response to Reply #31
33. In a way, she really has to keep the GE in mind....they all do, cause
that's the one that counts.

I don't think we can tolerate 4 more years of hell. I know that I can't. I'm not getting any younger, ya know!
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MGKrebs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 02:18 PM
Response to Reply #33
34. "4 more years of hell". I can't take it either.
So WINNING is very important to me this time, not just "best on the issues". Within reason of course.
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calteacherguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-06-07 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
35. The probabilty is Hillary will be the nominee, but I do think Obama still has a chance.
Obama is the only other candidate that has a chance, unless someone else gets in.
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