Lamont would win in a rematch for the Senate

Daily Kos commissioned the following poll from independent pollster Research 2000:

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 9/10-12. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)

For whom did you vote for in the 2006 race for U.S. Senate, Ned Lamont, the Democrat, Alan Schlesinger, the Republican, or Joe Lieberman, an Independent?

Lieberman Lamont Schlesinger
All 49 42 9
Dem 34 62 4
Rep 67 10 23
Ind 53 41 6


If you could vote again for U.S. Senate, would you vote for Ned Lamont, the Democrat, Alan Schlesinger, the Republican, or Joe Lieberman, an Independent?

Lieberman Lamont Schlesinger
All 40 48 10
Dem 25 72 3
Rep 69 7 24
Ind 38 49 9

Lieberman won 50-40-10 in 2006, so the poll tracks closely. But even if you account for a slight Lamont bias, it still looks like buyer's remorse. Full polling memo from R2K below the fold.

Race tracker wiki: CT-Sen

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/9/13/124925/928

:(

If they voted minus a campaign, Lamont could pull it out. That's all the poll is a snapshot of, a hypothetical matchup minus any debates or campaigning. If you ran another full scale campaign Lamont would still feature the same basic flaws, a novice politician and awkward speaker with only one central issue. And Lieberman would still be a known quantity with 18 years of incumbency. Given the breakdown of the electorate in Connecticut, I still think Lieberman would draw enough Democratic support and Independent numbers to allow the Republican block to push him over the top. In fact, I would bet on it again, just like last year.