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At this point, what are Obama's chances of winning the nomination?

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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:15 PM
Original message
Poll question: At this point, what are Obama's chances of winning the nomination?
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Ninga Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:25 PM
Response to Original message
1. I didn't vote in this poll because I think Obama's chances are as good as
Edited on Sat Sep-15-07 12:25 PM by Ninga
Hillary's or Edwards.

I don't happen to agree with a previous post that said this election is different from the 04 one, I think it is too early to call at this point.

And for sure, it is way too early to count any candidate in or out.
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cobalt1999 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
2. This early any of the three candidates have a good shot.
Leads can erode, mistakes can be made, endorsements touted. Clinton, Obama, & Edwards all have a pretty equal chance. The polls at this point only tell us who are the contenders, who's building a national organization, how they are positioning themselves.

I'm okay with any of the three winning.
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Ninga Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:34 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I will be a devoted supporter of who ever wins the nomation. The order of preference
Edited on Sat Sep-15-07 12:34 PM by Ninga
is

Edwards
Obama
Clinton
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Gman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:43 PM
Response to Original message
4. Obama needs to
step up his game and quit making rookie mistakes. He'd make a good president, but he's not going to get there by making dumb mistakes.
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:44 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. A Hillary supporter pushing the "rookie mistakes" meme.
Edited on Sat Sep-15-07 12:52 PM by Katzenkavalier
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Bluebear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:47 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. You know, you are doing nobody any good with your high school football game mentality.
Calling people "bullshit" because they happen to support another candidate is wrong, and you do it all too often with your one-liners. We are all Democrats here.

You joined us this year, is this how you want to be perceived? As a one-trick pony who will disappear in a huff if Obama doesn't get the nomination?
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:50 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. Some people like me, some people don't. What can I do?
I notice, however, that quite a few people around here, including Hillary and Edwards supporters respect me and seem to like me, and I appreciate that.

And, one more thing: I'm here at DU to stay. I don't donate to causes I don't support.
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Bluebear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:52 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. "What can I do?" - I would say look past the avatar before you rush off some comment.
Just my two cents, take it with a grain of salt or a pound of salt, at your choosing. :)
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:51 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. Oh, and I hate football, by the way.
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Bluebear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:54 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. Oh, it was a metaphor.
That's when you compare two seemingly unrelated objects to make an analogy.
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:58 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. I know, Bluebear. Lit grad student here.
By the way, even if we disagree on certain issues, it is my intention to have a cordial relationship with everyone here, you included. Don't think my ardent support for Barack Obama is in any way a personal vendetta against anyone.
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Bluebear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 01:00 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. My definition was sarcastic lol
I just want us all to rally behind the eventual nominee and not burn our candles out in the primary wars.
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Gman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 10:15 PM
Response to Reply #5
15. when you've been involved in politics as long as I have
you can spot a rookie a mile off. Obama is a good man and would make a great president in 2026. Just not right now.
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 10:28 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. 2026? You mean never?
Edited on Sat Sep-15-07 10:29 PM by Katzenkavalier
Sorry, but I have to challenge your political acumen...
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Gman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-16-07 12:17 PM
Response to Reply #16
19. Make that 2024
2026 is not a presidential election year. Although Obama could be running for reelection in 2022.
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rufus dog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-16-07 01:11 AM
Response to Reply #15
18. explain your logic please
Is it four Senate terms equals 1/2 a Senate Term plus two terms as first lady?
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-16-07 12:23 PM
Response to Reply #18
20. It's just dislike for Obama. No logic there.
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Gman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-16-07 12:34 PM
Response to Reply #18
21. Sorry but that's just too simplistic
Edited on Sun Sep-16-07 12:35 PM by Gman
if that's what you think then there's nothing I can do to explain my logic that you'll understand. We're talking some concepts that are a little more advanced than that here.
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Capn Sunshine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:46 PM
Response to Original message
6. DU polls only reflect DU-- I prefer the realtime poll
as you know..

I prefer the realtime poll---who's getting the most small donor DONATIONS?
We all know the answer to that.
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 12:47 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. We are doing fine. Obama doesn't have many fans over here.
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Freddie Stubbs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 11:21 PM
Response to Original message
17. Better than Edwards but worse than Clinton
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TSIAS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-16-07 02:07 PM
Response to Original message
22. 30 percent
As an Obama supporter, I regognize that HRC is the frontrunner. If she stumbles, Obama is the likely 2nd choice.
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