5. I think Hillary's chance of getting the nod is 50-50, so there's a 50% chance that a non-Hillary
candidate will get the nod. I'd say that Obama has the better part of that 50%, though with a sizeable chunk for Edwards, and another chunk for the rest of the candidates.
And Hillary then 85%. The Republicans I think have about a 40% chance of taking the White House again. Multiply those, and that would give Hillary even odds to capture the White House.
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