This was the day Barack Obama intended to seize the initiative in the Democratic presidential race with an address highlighting the fifth anniversary of his speech opposing the Iraq war. But before he could take the stage in Chicago, Hillary Clinton sought to steal the spotlight by announcing her big third-quarter fundraising report.
The juxtaposition of the two events captured the dynamic of the Democratic race through the first nine months of the year, as the Clinton machine continues to grind down the opposition and Obama continues to look for openings to get around her.
Clinton's advisers have said for months that many of her donors would wait until it really counted to contribute. They said that when Obama raised more money for the primaries than Clinton in both the first and second quarters of the year. In the third quarter, the most difficult of the year in which to raise money, Obama once again set a very high bar -- raising at least $20 million, $19 million of that for the primaries.
Clinton has managed to block Obama at almost every turn. His effort this week to resurrect his early opposition to the war comes as Clinton appears to have neutralized Iraq as a significant obstacle to her nomination.
At the beginning of the year, Iraq appeared to be a potentially serious impediment because of her vote for the 2002 resolution authorizing President Bush to take the country to war. Obama's opposition to the war and John Edwards's decision to renounce his own vote for the 2002 resolution proved attractive counterpoints for antiwar Democrats.
Clinton also began the year reluctant to embrace a timetable for withdrawing troops from Iraq. Other candidates offered explicit plans. That, too, appeared to provide an opening to pull Clinton down over the early months of the campaign.
But every poll available suggests that Clinton has taken her 2002 vote off the table. Opponents of the war are more likely to favor Clinton as the Democratic nomination than any other candidate. Those looking for a way out of Iraq see her as more capable of providing an exit strategy than any of her opponents.
http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2007/10/02/post_106.html?hpid=topnews