New Iowa Poll (Des Moines Register): Clinton 29%, Edwards 23%, Obama 22%

I don't think this has been posted yet:

Clinton takes lead for Democrats
BY THOMAS BEAUMONT AND JONATHAN ROOS
REGISTER STAFF WRITERS
Copyright 2007, Des Moines Register and Tribune Company

October 6, 2007

Hillary Clinton has climbed into first place in a new Des Moines Register poll of Iowans expected to participate in the state’s Democratic presidential caucuses, with John Edwards and Barack Obama both in striking distance.

The Iowa Poll shows 29 percent of likely caucusgoers preferring Clinton, a New York senator, an improvement from the Register’s most recent poll in May.

Edwards, a former North Carolina senator, was the choice of 23 percent in the new poll, slipping from the top spot since the May survey to nearly even with Obama.

Obama, an Illinois senator, was at 22 percent , virtually unchanged from May.


More: http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20071006/NEWS09/71005047/1001

I got a kick out of this line

"The new poll also shows Clinton picking up support while Edwards and Obama have sharpened their criticism of her."

In other words, the boys are busy cackling at her :rofl:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/intrade/20071005/pl_intrade/intrade_news_2007100529_1




"Clinton's current price of 43.9 is down 1.6 points from last weeks value of 45.5. None of her rivals for the presidency were able to make up any significant ground on the market leader however.
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Rudy Giuliani recorded only a modest gain, with his current price of 16.2 a 0.4 point increase from last weeks value of 15.8. Fred Thompson saw a reversal of last week's gains by suffering a decline in value this week. The former Senator from Tennessee is currently trading at 9.0, which is down 0.6 points from last weeks price of 9.6.

Barack Obama also saw downward movement in his price this week. His current value of 7.9 is a 0.4 point slip from last weeks price of 8.3 and represents his lowest value since Nov '06. These movements give Clinton a comfortable 27.7 point lead at the head of the field. This is down 2.0 points from the 29.7 point lead she held last week".

Check out the chart...Poor ....poor Obama. Click on it to get a full gander.

this isn't an internal campaign poll. Nice try.

eom

Obama's VP is headed for jail...

Blogger acct:

BBQ Scene

The Johnson County BBQ in Iowa City, Iowa was amazing. The food was great, the people were excited, and the atmosphere was energetic. As the crowds arrived, they were met with a barrage of campaign volunteers, from all of the campaigns, pushing supporter cards and stickers.

The line for Hillary Clinton’s booth stretched outside the hall, down the large ramp, and into the parking lot. A vast majority of the people there wore Hillary stickers. Hillary placards and a plate of a BBQ pork sandwich with beans filled the arms of so many people. As the day went on, the candidates arrived and made their way to the main barn to give their speeches.

The crowd sizes were interesting. Kucinich had a huge crowd. Edwards had a decently sized crowd as well. Those there to see Obama were presented with Forrest Whitaker, who drew a crowd slightly smaller than Bill Richardson’s.

The big winner of the sign wars and the crowd size was Hillary Clinton. She was introduced by George McGovern, professing his admiration for Hillary, and proudly endorsing her.

Also there was Jim McGovern, the Massachusetts congressman. She electrified the crowd with a speech on Bush’s “War on Science” and on her memories of the Space Race and what we had accomplished. She also talked about women’s rights.

After her speech, which was the last, she left going into the crowd, shaking hands, taking pictures and giving autographs.

When she left the barn, she took a picture with the Students For Hillary-University of Iowa Chapter, of which I am the President.

She then took a picture with some young boys, probably 9 or 10 years old, where she initiated and led the crowd in singing Happy Birthday to the little boy! That was personable.

The boy left, saying “the President sang Happy Birthday to me!” No other candidate would have done that.

She then stayed longer with supporters greeting them. Overall, it was clear at this BBQ who is number *ONE* in Iowa.

Biden 5%, Dodd and Kucinich both at 1%. All info is from the link in the OP.

October numbers (change since May):

Hillary Clinton 29% (+8)
John Edwards 23% (-6)
Barack Obama 22% (-1)
Bill Richardson 8% (-2)
Joe Biden 5% (+2)
Dennis Kucinich 1% (-1)
Chris Dodd 1% (+1)
Mike Gravel -% (-1)
Undecided 11% (0)

HRC posts the biggest gains, Edwards posts the biggest losses. Sounds like a trend.

I think the trends are the most important things here, but obviously a lot could still change.

considering how much time he has spent there.

I wonder why?

Clinton or Obama. He's working the ground.

zalinda

What the hell has he been doing?

but now he's losing it as the other candidates are spending lots of time there as well.

lack of funds (to pay for foot soldiers, staff, ads, etc.) + scandal (home foreclosing hedge fund which he was directly tied to) + increasing visibility of his competitors (whereas he maxed himself out ages ago) = downward spiral

IMHO, Edwards peaked a couple of months ago. Because his competition decided to show up, he's finding his numbers declining, and they'll probably continue to drop until they're down to about where he is nationally.

I think Edwards betting everything on Iowa was a colossal mistake.

If the "anyone-but-Hill" crowd wants to try to make a difference, go with Obama. By the time January rolls around, he'll be the lone threat to HRC.

moving up!

Go ahead, post your condescending rebuttals below. I don't care. : )

"Plugs" is on the move!

Seriously though, this race isn't even close to being over.

Remember it more.

trends are important and Hillary is gaining momentum in Iowa and it'as only three months away.

general election with HRC as our candidate, then I agree. After being demonized by the right for 15 years, Hillary will not win the national popularity contest that we call the Presidential election. I have encountered many, friends, family, co-workers, etc. that have a visceral dislike for her. I think she would be a great president but I must be realistic and choose Edwards who can win a general election. IMHO

any Republican candidate. The "she can't win" talking point has been disproven repeatedly.

Cope.

Often for them the only antidote is medication.

:scared: of crumbling repukes

the only thing he is good at is looking great in his jeans. :P

and edwards had his chance in 04 he is at like 11% nationally lol seriously he is not going to win. Hillary will be the next president so get used to it. and stop using gop talking points because the electability thing is played out.

. . . cause a visceral negative reaction among scores of Americans when he ran in 68 and again in 72? And look what happened.

It's a horse race...

Anything can happen

still, it's important to remember that this poll (and most others like it) relies on the assumption that all the young voters and independents supporting Obama are not likely to show up to caucuses. That may be a good assumption to make, but if the Obama campaign can find a way to make it happen, they'll surprise people and do better than expected.

This poll, and also the desperation exhibited by DU'ers against Hillary.

Just wait till Edwards actually starts advertising as we get closer to the caucus. He's only spent 27 thousand on ads there, compared to the hundreds of thousands other candidates have already spent. I think those numbers will even up.

That's all he's got.

Whatever John has, both Barack and Hill can match it by at least three-fold.

John Edwards has run a piss poor campaign. What in the world was he thinking? A throw away figure running for the Presidency is $100,000,000 give or take. He's barely through the exploratory stage and out of cash. Ridiculous getting into a race without paying attention to the finances necessary to make it to the finish line. All the speeches in the world won't make a difference if your message is stymied because you're broke. Big disappointment!

With the grassroots money he is raising, plus the money he will get from choosing to be publically financed. He is waiting till use it when he knows people begin paying attention and making decisions. Voters in Iowa are very fluid (this poll says around 50% of those committed to a candidate might still change before the caucus.

Hillary is spanking him in poll numbers, contributions and endorsements.
Go Hillary!!

on election day they have to get people to the polls and vote. they all got pretty good organizations in Iowa so this is a horse race to the finish.

I think Obama has a really good chance if it's true he has a better organization and the most enthusisatic supporters.

though I don't know details on the candidates' respective organizations or the enthusiasm of their supporters (which might be a bit difficult to quantify.) I actually have a couple of friends (recent college grads) who have moved to Iowa to work for candidates, so maybe I'll ask them what their perceptions of the situation are.

is toast?

http://www.pollster.com/AIATopDems.php

While HRC, Obama, and even Richardson are trending upward in Iowa, Edwards is trending downward.

why bet their money and their vote on a candidate that lacks the preparation ($$$) as a serious contender for the General.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=389&topic_id=1992463&mesg_id=1992463

:rofl:

Comparing Clinton's slow progress in Iowa to the national polls, where she's doing extremely well, would have made Pravda proud back in the day.

Clinton's campaign is doing well in Iowa, doing as well as ever in the polls, although it 's still close in that state with Obama.

the link is great for breaking down the poll on gender/race/age and preference.

11% undecided is such a large number with the top three polling so close to each other.


On edit:

x( spell-check!