I feel better now after reading "Edwards will win Iowa"

It's all in the details. It seems as though Edwards is running a tight race in Iowa EVEN THOUGH he hasn't run TV ads....while Hil and Obama are all over Iowa media with their ads.


A good read for Edwards supporters......

John Edwards will win the Iowa caucuses
by desmoinesdem, Wed Oct 10, 2007 at 01:02:40 AM EST

Disclosure: I am a volunteer precinct captain for John Edwards in the Des Moines suburbs.

I hesitated before writing this entry. Political junkies like to play the expectations game, and arguably Edwards would get a bigger boost from a surprise win in Iowa.

But I do want to comment briefly on the Des Moines Register poll showing Edwards with 23 percent support among likely caucus-goers, trailing Hillary Clinton (29 percent) and roughly even with Barack Obama (23 percent).

I have to laugh at those who claim Edwards is "done" in Iowa. He's been running no ads in Iowa while rivals have blanketed the airwaves and gotten more national media attention. He is even with Obama, who has twice as many field offices and has spent millions on ads and polling in Iowa. Clinton's lead over Edwards is barely outside the margin of error, even though she has been running ads, making plenty of visits and had the Vilsacks campaigning for her full-time.

Edwards has been building up a strong organization all summer, with volunteer campaign co-chairs and steering committees in all 99 Iowa counties. I don't know exactly how many precinct captains he has, but my understanding is that he has them in the majority of the precincts statewide. In 2003 he lacked that organization, and I believe the only reason Kerry held on to win the caucuses was the greater number of boots on the ground Kerry had during the crucial final weeks.

Assuming the Iowa caucuses are held on January 3 or January 5, a strong cohort of volunteers will be critical in the final days. It will not be easy to get people out of their homes on a cold night right after the holiday season.

Several MyDD commenters have predicted that Edwards' support in Iowa will "collapse" in light of recent polls showing Clinton ahead in the state. Speaking in the small town of Corydon this week, Edwards commented, "I lived through the inevitability of Howard Dean."

More to the point, Iowa Democrats lived through the inevitability of Howard Dean. Do you people have any idea how many Iowa polls came out between July and November 2003 that were horrible for Kerry and Edwards? Honestly, some days in October and November I wondered why I was bothering to make those phone calls or plan house parties. I didn't even believe myself that Kerry had a real chance to beat Dean in Iowa.

But in those final weeks, the late deciders started making up their minds, and overwhelmingly, they rejected Dean.

If you think recent polls are going to discourage Edwards supporters, think again. People remember how the momentum changed in that race.

Any of the front-runners could win Iowa. But Edwards' campaign will be more visible coming down the home stretch, and his strong, progressive stands on the issues, coupled with his solid organization and his support in rural as well as urban and suburban precincts, will put him in a good position to capitalize on late momentum in the race.

Like we say, "Organize, organize, organize, and then get hot at the end."

For a good summary of recent news on Edwards, I recommend the Edwards Evening News Roundup.

I definately prefer him over HRC, though a tossup between him & Obama.

and more of a choice for people.

that Edwards is way behind and hasn't a chance.

Go, Johnny, go!!!!

Guys, that Edwards is running out of DESPERATION! I watched him at the Harkin Steak Fry and he got the biggest response!

Maybe if MSM stopped shoving Clinton in our face, all the "soft" Clinton supporters would see that they don't HAVE to get on board with her! I know many who want Edwards, but think Clinton can't be beat! I think it's just a bunch of Clap-Trap and the Big Machine needs to have some screws thrown into those gears!

a "life" until this election cycle come to an end.

I spend way too much time writing LTTE, and talking one on one, to any person who will listen to me about Edwards.

The misconceptions out there are ASTOUNDING !

but do try to get out and speak with others as much as possible. We also have my mother-in-law living with us and she has Severe Alzheimer's and needs 24 hour care. I have to be home a lot, but get out every chance I get.

I just wish I lived in a more Democratic location... any meeting or functions are pretty lame and those of us who try to generate "more" feel very lonely a lot of the time! St. Pete & Tampa are much better, but that means a lot of traveling and time which makes it more difficult for me!

Edwards isn't likely to visiting here I'm sure, but I did see him in 2004 in St. Pete and got to shake his hand! Too bad Florida is what it is... may NOT get to see him this time out!

He either has the chops to pull this off, or doesn't.

The media is pushing the fact that Edwards and Obama are failing and for Obama that is true becuase he has spent big $$$$$ on TV adds. The odds of a Hillary crowd showing up at our rural caucus (3,000) in droves seems unlikely but you never know.

:hi:

Just trying to keep IA above water-

She posted it on www.essentialestrogen.com :hi:

x

I wonder why the person who coined that phrase never receives attribution (except from the folks who were around when he originally said it almost 25 years ago).

Chair of Iowa Democratic Party 1981-1984

(fought to preserve Iowa's First in the Nation Status in 1983 - sued in Federal Court by the DNC and prevailed when Iowa was forced to move it's date forward - after New Hampshire moved their date forward b/c...well you get the drift)

That's the only way to stop Madam Corporatista.

:thumbsup::kick:

He's my choice too.

thats on the mark... The rest of IOWA will caucus on the 3rd. "the late deciders" did Bush die???:rofl: :puffpiece: :tinfoilhat: :sarcasm: :popcorn: :rofl: