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Rasmussen: Clinton 7 point "slide" in IA, 6 point in NH

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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 08:39 PM
Original message
Rasmussen: Clinton 7 point "slide" in IA, 6 point in NH
Edited on Fri Nov-16-07 08:40 PM by usregimechange
Clinton 29% Edwards 25% Obama 24%

Senator Hillary Clinton’s lead in Iowa has fallen seven points over the past few weeks. This is consistent with the six-point slide measured in New Hampshire.

The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of the Iowa Democratic Caucus for 2008 finds Clinton on top with support from 29% of Likely Caucus Participants. That’s down from 33% in mid-October.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/2008_presidential_election/iowa/democratic_iowa_caucus
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 08:42 PM
Response to Original message
1. "Half of the Likely Caucus Participants say they could change their mind"
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laureloak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 08:42 PM
Response to Original message
2. Tee hee!
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durrrty libby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 08:44 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. A win is a win. tee hee
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Debi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 08:49 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. Except when second place is the big deal
1976 Undecided 'won' the Iowa Caucuses but Jimmy Carter came in second

1984 Mondale 'won' the Iowa Caucuses but Gary Hart's second place win was all the news media talked about

1992 Tom Harkin 'won' the Iowa Caucuses but Bill Clinton came in second (and came in second in New Hampshire as well).

Seems maybe second place might be a more 'Presidential' place to be (except for the whole Mondale/Hart thing - didn't work out well for either one of them x()
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. That's interesting, Debi - thanks!! nt
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MannyGoldstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 09:08 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. Resistance is Fut... Uh... Nevermind.
All your votes are belong.. uh... whatever.
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Debi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-17-07 10:05 AM
Response to Reply #8
17. Heh heh.
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Jackpine Radical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 08:43 PM
Response to Original message
3. Aaargh.
Any poll taken more than 2 weeks out is meaningless.

Standard disclaimer: I am no kind of Hillary fan, but all this breathless counting of angels on the head of a pin gets tiresome.
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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 08:48 PM
Response to Original message
5. Wow. The trend line does not look good for Hillary. Imagine what the internal polling looks like.
No wonder the campaign has resorted to planting questions AND debate audience ringers.
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 08:48 PM
Response to Original message
6. Dead heat
Edited on Fri Nov-16-07 08:51 PM by WesDem
When only voters who are “certain” they will participate in the caucus are included in the totals, the race is a dead-heat: 26% for Clinton, 26% for Edwards, and 26% for Obama


I note Richardson at 10%.

This is interesting:

Among those voters who say they might change their mind, there is no clear benefit to any of the top three candidates. Obama supporters who might change their mind are fairly evenly divided on their second choice between Edwards and Clinton. Edwards supporters who might change their mind are similarly divided between Obama and Clinton. And the same pattern holds true for Clinton supporters who might change their mind—they are primarily split between Edwards and Obama. Given the high numbers of voters who say they could change their mind, the race in Iowa remains very fluid.
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Capn Sunshine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 09:31 PM
Response to Reply #6
10. Really Dead Heat
It literally changes depending on which group we send out and what time of day it is.
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Cameron27 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 09:34 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. That's incredible
(I'm happy for you WD :-) )
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 09:47 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. .
:pals:
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NobleCynic Donating Member (991 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-17-07 03:01 AM
Response to Reply #6
15. Those numbers make you want to smack your head against a wall
Regardless of which candidate you prefer. Too much evenness! Gah!
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Imagevision Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 10:02 PM
Response to Original message
13. Msnbc and CNN should do a poll on who the public thought won the Vegas debates, it wasn't Hillary!!
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williesgirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-16-07 11:22 PM
Response to Original message
14. Please, please, don't let her win EITHER of them. rec'd
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Perry Logan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-17-07 07:12 AM
Response to Original message
16. When all else fails, there's always Rasmussen to cheer you up.
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Evergreen Emerald Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-17-07 10:17 AM
Response to Original message
18. I think this slide represents that Russert debate
My guess is that the next poll will have her rise.
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asdjrocky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-17-07 10:19 AM
Response to Original message
19. Exciting for Edwards supporters.
Leaving for Reno to see him at Town Hall in 10 minutes. Can't wait.
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suston96 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-17-07 10:23 AM
Response to Original message
20. Latest? What's the date....
...of that Rasmussen report? Oh, I see, its November 12, 2007. Yeah, that's the date.
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