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A look at NH, NV & SC polls before they likely change post IA.

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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-03-08 02:46 PM
Original message
A look at NH, NV & SC polls before they likely change post IA.
New Hampshire

Poll	        Date	   Sample	Clinton	Obama	Edwards	Richardson  Biden  Spread
RCP Average 12/27 - 01/02 - 34.0 27.0 18.5 5.8 2.8 Clinton +7.0
Suffolk/WHDH 01/01 - 01/02 500 LV 39 23 17 5 2 Clinton +16.0
Franklin Pierce 12/27 - 12/31 403 LV 32 28 19 8 3 Clinton +4.0
CNN/WMUR/UNH 12/27 - 12/30 521 LV 34 30 17 5 3 Clinton +4.0
ARG 12/27 - 12/29 600 LV 31 27 21 5 3 Clinton +4.0


Nevada

Poll	        Date	   Sample	Clinton	Obama	Edwards	Richardson	Spread
RCP Average 11/16 - 12/06 - 41.3 21.3 11.7 5.7 Clinton +20.0
ARG 12/01 - 12/06 600 LV 45 18 14 2 Clinton +27.0
Mason-Dixon 12/03 - 12/05 300 LV 34 26 9 7 Clinton +8.0
Research 2000 11/16 - 11/19 400 LV 45 20 12 8 Clinton +25.0



South Carolina

Poll	       Date	   Sample	Clinton	Obama	Edwards	Biden	Richardson	Spread
RCP Average 12/08 - 12/18 - 34.4 33.8 15.4 4.5 1.8 Clinton +0.6
SurveyUSA 12/17 - 12/18 496 LV 41 39 17 -- -- Clinton +2.0
CBS News 12/13 - 12/17 599 LV 34 35 13 1 1 Obama +1.0
Rasmussen 12/16 - 12/16 LV 33 33 17 4 2 Tie
CNN 12/09 - 12/12 LV 42 34 16 3 2 Clinton +8.0
Insider Adv 12/08 - 12/09 480 LV 22 28 14 10 2 Obama +6.0
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livetohike Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-03-08 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
1. Thanks for posting this
It will be interesting to check it against the polls after the Iowa caucus...I'm surprised Edwards isn't polling higher in SC.
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-03-08 02:50 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Hillary and Obama split almost all of the African American vote in SC
That is anywhere from 40% to 50% of the electorate leaving Edwards scrambling for supporters among white men (since Hillary does well amongst women)
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-03-08 02:50 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Clinton SHOULD be viewing Nevada as her firewall
not New Hampshire. If Obama wins Iowa, he's likely to win NH too. Nevada is far and away for Clinton right now.
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-03-08 02:52 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. The winner of IA taking NH is a mixed bag historically.
Also Obama is not likely helped by McCain rising from the dead in Iowa since he will attract indies to vote in the GOP primary as opposed to the Dem primary.
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alteredstate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-03-08 02:51 PM
Response to Original message
4. Thanks for posting this!
:)
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