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WOW! Obama's chance of becoming the Dem. nominee now shot up to 45%!

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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:24 PM
Original message
WOW! Obama's chance of becoming the Dem. nominee now shot up to 45%!
Edited on Fri Jan-04-08 12:58 PM by jenmito
According to intrade, where he was at 27% before his win last night. http://www.intrade.com/
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katty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:27 PM
Response to Original message
1. very good-Mitt w/go away and Huck has no chance, so
my guess the GOP will drag out that old horse McCain for another lap around the track - he will never win--the GOP has NO ONE.
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:29 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. I think he'll beat McCain easily, too. He's so pro-war. And Cons. don't like him.
Obama will win in a landslide against ANYONE.
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katty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:46 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. yes, McCain has no hope of a win-it wld be like electing bush
again-UGH!!!
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:56 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. I agree.
Not gonna happen.
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elizm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:27 PM
Response to Original message
2. Bring it on!!!
:bounce: Change is Coming!
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
3. The Democratic candidate will win. Whomever.
I'm surprised you're surprised.
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:31 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. I'm surprised because he was at 27% yesterday. This isn't comparing the Dem. to the Repub.
Edited on Fri Jan-04-08 12:55 PM by jenmito
It's comparing Dems. to other Dems. Yesterday Hillary was at 66% and Obama at 27%. Right now it's 50% for Hillary and 45% for Obama.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:56 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. I Believe You're Mixing Up Numbers
Edited on Fri Jan-04-08 12:59 PM by DemocratSinceBirth
He has a 25.4% of winning the presidency and a 45.1% chance of winning the nomination:



http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/contractSearch/
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:56 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. I edited it to "chance of being the Dem. nominee."
Edited on Fri Jan-04-08 01:03 PM by jenmito
Thanks.
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bpeale Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:32 PM
Response to Original message
6. it's only ONE caucus! pace yourself!
sounds like you're counting your chickens before they hatch.
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 12:38 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Tell it to the traders. I'm simply stating the facts according to intrade.
Edited on Fri Jan-04-08 12:38 PM by jenmito
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frogcycle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:04 PM
Response to Original message
12. almost as meaningful as the American Idol results...
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:08 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Wrong. MUCH more meaninful.
The people who bet on these things always always predict the correct outcome.
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frogcycle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:11 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. oh, alright then
let's cancel the rest of the election process
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 01:34 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. "Much more meaningful" doesn't mean "certainty."
I guess you're not an Obama supporter, huh?! Get a grip.
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