If Obama Wins New Hampshire, Is It Over?

Not mathematically speaking, of course. But for all intents and purposes, if Obama wins New Hampshire, and wins big - and heads into Nevada and South Carolina on a roll....is this thing all over but the shouting?

it's fun.

Hillary at least isnt giving up till all the beans are counted.

It wasn't even close. But if he wins big in NH, yeah, it's wrapped up.

So imo, an Obama or Edwards win in NH is the only way to keep the race open.

I know she has enough money to go all the way to Denver. The question is, though, can she stop that freight train once it builds up a head of steam?

:). But you're right. If Obama wins both, he'll be hard to stop.

I'm sorry, but momentum is the most powerful force in politics. If it is against you, you're screwed. He wins SC and maybe NV and then he dominates Super Tuesday even possibly winning NJ.

I think a win in NH will help his momentum.

Nevada is the one to watch. If he can win Nevada, and follow that with his expected win in SC, he will win Tsunami Tuesday and the Nomination.

I think it was David Gregory who speculated that Harry Reid could have NV tied up for Clinton even though he has not endorsed her (yet). He also noted that Reid's son is working for Clinton in NV.

manage a Democratic majority in the Senate. Just curious.

That's when the fat lady sings.

This is all up in the air.

If he wins NH, he will win SC.

Gawd Bless Merica.

i'm not sure i get your point.

Get my point?

when many of us progressives have been clamoring for ditching the current system and replacing it with a system of rotating regional primaries.

I hope you all join us in getting rid of Iowa and New Hampshire as first in the nation, and restore sanity to an idiotic and undemocratic system.

How about demanding that the DNC reverses itself and restores Florida and Michigan's delegates?

You see "Clintonistas" behind every tree, do you?

I'm sick of it, no matter who "wins".

We must remember there are only 4 contests before the massive Feb. 5th date. All 3 top Democrats have enough support to last until Feb. 5th, thus likely resulting in a 3-way split with no one candidate ending with a majority of the delegates.

The Clintons are never out, not even when you think they've breathed their last breath.

The longer the primaries last, the longer the attention from the media and the more impetus is given to the candidates message.

Message? Oh, yeah. Maybe you are right. Blow the whistle. Game over.

i said months ago that the Iowa winner wins it all. With today's media climate, a 4-day period in between primaries is an eternity.

The momentum will build and it'll be hard, if not impossible to stop.

Plus, democrats like winners. We haven't had one in so long we gravitate towards whoever looks like one.

were stolen.

No mater who we nominate, the Republicans will attempt to steal the election. The people haven't been allowed to choose a president since 1996.

The stakes are extremely high in the coming election for Bush Crime family, which has led us into an immoral and illegal occupation of a foreign nation, shredded the Constitution and Bill of Rights, and stolen billions, if not trillions, of Dollars. Extremely powerful people are facing disgrace and jail-time if the rule of law is reestablished.

The coming campaign is going to be rough and dirty. So far Obama has been handled with kid gloves by the corrupt corporate press. I'm not sure why, but I suspect they think he can be beaten. About this, they may be wrong. But he, or any other person we nominate, is going to be vilified by the corporate media come September.

The Republicans are already putting voter caging into place around the country, a direct challenge to our party's base and particularly the new voters Obama will attempt to bring into the process.

Problems with the manipulation of computer-voting tallies generally have been ignored. At least a third, and probably a higher percentage, of the electorate will be voting on such machines in November.

It has been over a decade since this country has had a reasonably free and honest presidential election. I hope 2008 proves the exception; but I won't be holding my breath. And if the election is stolen, our corporate press already has an explanation: "the country wasn't ready for a woman," "wasn't ready for an African American," "found John Edwards' populism too abrasive," or what ever bullshit explanation will placate the American people over the theft of the election no matter who our nominee may be.

Freedoms lost are rarely restored.

Maybe, possibly, but probably not squeak out a win in NH or SC. Feb 5 is going to do the telling. I'm beginning to think she loses California and I never thought I would be saying that.

The Michigan and Florida delegates will get seated at the Denver Convention after a floor fight in which those that believe in democracy and oppose the heavy-handed tactics of Chairman Dean and his DNC, will reject the Credentials Committee and vote to seat the entire delegations.

This may not win Hillary the nomination, but at least will give her a fighting chance to win it in Denver.

History has proven that many time.

Iowa IS America and speaks for all of us.

Everyone else should just quit now and not waste their time. Why bother?

I am going to buy my gown for the inauguration ball now.

:sarcasm:

It is interesting to speculate whether a one-two punch by Obama can finish off Hillary after Tues. I have no clue either way, but it's food for thought.

Let's wait and see.

states in the NE and CA and likely FL too.

All the information about that corporate backing is making some people nervous.

Obama is getting (a good deal of rightly so) I think it will take a 15+ point win to start wondering if the race is over.