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New CNN Post-Iowa NH Poll: 33% Obama Clinton 33% Edwards 20%

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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 05:52 PM
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New CNN Post-Iowa NH Poll: 33% Obama Clinton 33% Edwards 20%
Edwards, Obama bounce. CNN breaking...
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IndianaGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 05:56 PM
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1. Obama has nearly tied Hillary on the electability question
a category in which Hillary enjoyed a comfortable lead a few months ago.

Hillary is in trouble!
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 06:00 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. She is in Big trouble, imo
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itsrobert Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 06:03 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. That's an understatement
She's campaigning for VP at this point.
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ncabot22 Donating Member (425 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 07:00 PM
Response to Reply #3
9. Nice pic!
Thanks for posting it.
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thesubstanceofdreams Donating Member (625 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 06:05 PM
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4. Polls are all over the place

As usual. None of them has Obama trailing, though, which is encouragin, but it'll be far from a slam dunk.
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 06:24 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. I think he could win by 10% or so but you really never know
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Meldread Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 06:27 PM
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6. Obama is almost over the hump.
If he can win in NH, then he just has to ride strong until South Carolina. He'll win there, too, and once that happens he's riding good into Super Tuesday. The ironic thing about all this is that the Clinton's did this to themselves. They set these primaries up so that they would be fast and furious, so that once Hillary won Iowa that it would be nearly impossible to stop her momentum. Now they are battling against the monster they created.

However, what is more interesting is who will capture second place in NH. Edwards is a long shot, but you never know what can happen. I think Obama has the nomination at this point, though, because that is the way the primary system was designed to work.

My prediction is:
Obama in low to mid 40's.
Hillary in the mid to upper 30's.
Edwards in the upper teens to low 20's.

That's how NH is going to play out, IMO. What is also interesting to watch is how Obama will effect John McCain in the independent vote. I think Obama might end up costing McCain his last chance for President. (The man is 81 years old going on 82 I think. He will be too old to try and run for a second term if he even managed to win in the general.)
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 06:58 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Good points but I promise you Edwards will do better than that
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annie1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 06:59 PM
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8. cool. Even if he wins, as long as it's only by a few points, it won't be the worst.
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Mike03 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 07:02 PM
Response to Original message
10. I Hate to Sound Like A Broken Record...
Why isn't Edwards doing better than he is?

He is the only (remaining, feasible) candidate who is speaking convincing about domestic issues that actually matter?

And he has a history of fighting for neglected or slaughtered working class people against corporations.

What is turning people off about Edwards? I am clueless about this...
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-05-08 07:03 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. mt thoughts precisely
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