Rasmussen National Poll... "Edwards Gaining Ground." Hold Yer Horses Oabamakids!

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Rasmussen Reports Surprise!! John Edwards Up 9% (to 23%) Nationally Since 12/29

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Rasmussen Reports Surprise!! John Edwards Up 9% (to 23%) Nationally Since 12/29

According to the latest Rasmussen Reports numbers, the anticipated Obama national bounce seems, instead, to be pointing John Edwards's way. The latest Rasmussen Daily Democratic Presidential tracking polls show that as of 1/6/2008, John Edwards has increased his percentage of likely US voters by +9 percentage points from 14% to 23%. This compares to Hillary Clinton's loss of -7 percentage points in the same period from 43% to 36% and Barack Obama's +1 point increase during the same period from 24% to 25%.

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Rasmussen Reports Daily Democratic Candidates (1/6/08)

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Date Clinton Obama Edwards

1/6/08 36% 25% 23%
1/5/08 38% 25% 20%
1/4/08 38% 26% 18%
1/3/08 41% 24% 17%
12/31/07-1/2/08 No polling - New Year's Holiday
12/30/07 42% 23% 16%
12/29/07 43% 24% 14%


NATIONAL AVERAGE: For the national race, Edwards’s improvement in the Rasmussen polling represents a +10.0% increase over the last six December polls averaged previously by Real Clear Politics. That same comparison shows Barack Obama with a -.75% decrease and Hillary Clinton with a –8.25% decrease in her national average--so all positive national movement in the Democratic Primary race seems to be in Edwards's favor.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/national-primary.html

NEW HAMPSHIRE: Edwards is also up 3.1% in New Hampshire over the past six polls averaged by Real Clear Politics. This is not as much as Obama, who’s up 8.7% in New Hampshire, but Hillary Clinton is down 4.8% during that same time.

NH Real Clear Politics Last Six Polls vs. Previous Six Polls

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/national-primary.html

State Clinton Obama Edwards

New Hampshire -4.8% +8.7% +3.1%

The Concord Monitor poll also came out Saturday and showed Barack Obama increasing his standing by +1% to 34% since the Monitor’s last poll on Dec. 18, while Hillary Clinton increased her poll numbers by +2% to 33%--and John Edwards increased his position by 5% to 23% in the same time period.

http://www.yourconcord.com/primaryblog/monitor_post_iowa_poll_mccain_6_obama_1

So, Edwards is moving up significantly in New Hampshire as well--and may make a further move after a very strong debate performance on ABC on Saturday night.

I hope so anyhow. I really like Edwards. I like Obama too, but I prefer Edwards.

:)

36 hour pushes in Iawa and New Hampshire. Middle class people are reporting information, and not the million dollar anchor spokespersons. Now that is what I call change.

Edwards needed to be given a chance he could not get in time. His appeal growing was/is true but again not enough, not enough time. We will never see the see the peak quite possibly. It might be one of those what ifs unless the people really seek to delve into edwards or his message. It would be untypical of most(enough) voters to do so, change and vote accordingly never mind the current leader is so eloquent and appealing himself.

The state of mind of most voters, even most Dem voters may not be up to, or simply too drowned out, to want more than Obama and his message. The Clinton string snapping gave further momentum to the first place guy.

Dumbed down by deregulated Media Whores...working two and three jobs...told they aren't important except as "consumers."

He doesn't get the M$M attention, he has less money for advertising. JRE is working to get the message out there, it is taking alot of hard work, the old fashioned way! I hope it will be enough......

We've been talking about this forever. That's why he wants to knock her out.

...with a little help from us.

Put another nail in the Clinton campaign...

:thumbsup:

Obama will :puke: , his weaknesses will be exposed and Edwards will win in the end. :)

I am starting to wonder how HRC goes on after New Hampshire...

I am beginning to believe Barack Obama is like tulip mania or the NASDAQ in the late nineties...

Sorry, we've heard this before.

and it was a tossup on who came in 2nd and third. Considering John was outspent something like 6 to 1, he finished spectacularly.

Go, Johnny, Go Go GO!

would welcome a rise in edwards standings...

Even though Obama beat Hillary and Edwards in Iowa with people under the age of 55.

very similar.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=389&topic_id=2588760&mesg_id=2599336

Obama is leading in NH today among voters 65 and under. Have some respect for your elders.

Edwards! As Hillary's numbers go down, Edwards' numbers go up and Obama's stay almost constant.

H O E
36 25 23
38 25 20
38 26 18
41 24 17
43 23 16
43 24 14

So the natural thing for Edwards to do is go after Hillary. And for Obama as well for somewhat different reasons. From Hillary's perspective, she has to take out Edwards, and the media is helping by not reporting Edwards who they are scared of.

Obama supporters should be glad that Edwards is going all the way to the convention. It may be their only way to get there.

I'm still waiting to hear how Edwards can win NH, SC, NV, or any other state after being way down in every state poll.

There IS A classic little book called,, Lying With Statistics... You need to read it!:)

I would certainly expect Obama's national numbers to get a boost after NH, but if Edwards were to drop out, which he isn't going to do, that would firm up Hillary's lead, and make it very difficult for Obama.

Edwards has a huge task ahead, but there are some worsening socioeconomic conditions that will favor his candidacy in the next month or two. People are already hurting and just the whisper of recession is going to make them think of their pocket books, and what corporate America has done to them over the years of the Clinton/Bush dynasty. From NAFTA, to job outsourcing, to $100/barrel of oil. People are just beginning to take the election seriously. They're not DUers out there. They're going to want to hear substantive plans and soon.

Maybe that should tell you something.

Obama got a huge boost in NH, where ALL of the candidates are campaigning, while Edwards numbers have stayed the same or dropped.

Obama +10 since Iowa
Hillary -4 since Iowa
Edwards +0 since Iowa

The domino effect is real. But it only takes one domino to be out of line to end the sequence. :)