Final predictions for NH: Obama 45%, Clinton 39%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 2%

Closer than originally expected. What about you?

Not thinking Edwards will "do well" doesn't mean he'll do THAT poorly. 14%?

Here's mine:
Obama: 41%
Clinton: 30%
Edwards: 22%
Others: 7%

Today was a good day for Clinton.

transparent and weak. Don't let the her vocal supporters on DU sway your knowledge of what the real world thinks.

Plus her national lead collapsed. That's not a good day for anyone.

With her MLK comment and her Al-Qaeda comment. And if any NH dems were watching KO, which Im sure there are some, they wont get a favorable story from him of her.

Here's mine:

Obama:40%
Edwards :29%
Clinton:25%
Others: 6%
:)

:)

Obama should cry, maybe he'd get 60%

She didn't cry!

blow the lid off of this one, I think.

That would mean the polling is off the margin of error in her favor and I doubt that happens after Iowa.

but let's remember it's Indies she needs to affect. Unless she does unexpectedly well with Democrats (it's been mostly even), that's the only way I see the percentage dropping. I think Obama breaks 40%, and beats Clinton by 9 or 10...if not more. People were expecting McCain to beat Bush by about 8% in 2000, and he beat him in the end by a whopping 18%!!! If Indies all come out for Obama, which the polls suggest, don't be surprised by a WIDE blowout.

Now, South Carolina is different. He can get 50% of the vote there...

Remember 1988. Bob Dole surged ahead of Bush 41 after winning Iowa decisively but he turned it around in New Hampshire and won New Hampshire decisively. If Hillary had more time, the same thing would have set up and she would have won. Check out the New ARG poll!

January 7, 2008 - New Hampshire Presidential Preferences

New Hampshire
Democrats Dec 16-19 Dec 27-29 Jan 1-3 Jan 4-5 Jan 5-6 Jan 6-7

Biden 4% 3% 2% ni ni ni
Clinton 38% 31% 35% 26% 28% 31%
Dodd 2% 1% 1% ni ni ni
Edwards 15% 21% 15% 20% 22% 20%
Gravel 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1%
Kucinich 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2%
Obama 24% 27% 31% 38% 39% 40%
Richardson 5% 5% 5% 3% 4% 4%
Undecided 9% 8% 8% 8% 3% 2%

Clinton up 3% in 2 days! She's gaining about 2% per day and if she had two weeks she would win.

But, alas for her, she doesn't and Obama has also gained a point. I predict 41-33 Obama.

I am not sure of the delegate numbers. How many total delegates for the Dems?

Obama- 40%
HRC- 32%
JE- 19%
BR- 6%
Kuch- 2%

HRC is experiencing a massive surge. Up three points in 1 day. Just as I feared.