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It's all about the independents. McCain and Obama are essentially splitting them.

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
TwilightZone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:37 PM
Original message
It's all about the independents. McCain and Obama are essentially splitting them.
So, if McCain pulled a large percentage of independents, the race between Hillary and Obama could be much closer than the polls thought it would be.
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BlueStater Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. Anybody who has trouble deciding between McCain and Obama isn't right in the head n/t
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FreeState Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Thats not what they are deciding to many its Huckabee vrs McCain
there are only 5% evangelicals in NH.
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truebrit71 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:43 PM
Response to Reply #1
7. No shit....
:wtf:
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lvx35 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
3. You sir are TOTALLY right.
Edited on Tue Jan-08-08 08:40 PM by lvx35
That's one reason why I keep saying on this site that I don't like McCain v Obama.
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TwilightZone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:45 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. Good point.
I hadn't really thought of it that way. Granted, this is just New Hampshire, but it'll be interesting to see what the final (I) numbers look like.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
4. Which means it's the Democrats voting for Hillary.
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TwilightZone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:42 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. That would seem to be the case. Marist showed Obama up 36-28, but Hillary led with Dems 36-30.
If we assume for a moment that the Marist poll is accurate, tonight's result would certainly depend on the percentages of (D) vs. (I).
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:45 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. Good since we are electing a Democratic nominee
It is ironic, isn't it, that the man with such a purported ability to inspire needs independents and Republicans to win Democratic primaries.
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:41 PM
Response to Original message
5. CNN

They said Obamas votes came from 50% independents where as Hilary took almost 40% in her vote make up.

However Hilary aparently has almost 60% of democrats in her vote make up and Obama only 44.

Its way close.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:45 PM
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9. But doesn't that mean that Obama is a good GE candidate
because he attract something other than Democrats? Democrats will vote for any Dem Nominee, Independents, not so much.
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:47 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. not really because those independents can go anywhere.in the GE


If Hilary takes the majority democrats tonight, i think she is vindicated.
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TwilightZone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 08:57 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. It would also seem to indicate that McCain would probably be a formidable opponent in the GE.
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