I Have Never Seen Polls So Wrong In My Life

DemocratSinceBirth

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Tue Jan-08-08 10:46 PM
Original message

I Have Never Seen Polls So Wrong In My Life

Pollsters have a lot of egg on their face...Zomby has a whole omelet on his...

http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN0433304720080108

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K Gardner

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Tue Jan-08-08 10:48 PM
Response to Original message

1. Even Clinton's INTERNAL polls showed her losing and losing badly..

isn't this just remotely reminiscent of something... a few years ago, and 8 years ago...?

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Captain Hilts

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Tue Jan-08-08 11:39 PM
Response to Reply #1

4. But they understood the distortions that exist for her and black candidates. nt

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K Gardner

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Tue Jan-08-08 11:53 PM
Response to Reply #4

11. So why were they wringing their hands today.. and shaking up their campaign.. and calling

James Carville and Paul Begalia.. and trying to decide whether to skip SC and NV or not? I'm seriously just asking.. This is a flashback. Look at the faces of the media, assholes they are, yes.. but they don't know what happened. I remember them saying some of these exact same lines in 2004, and in 2000. Republicans polling was spot on. Why?

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Captain Hilts

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Wed Jan-09-08 12:24 AM
Response to Reply #11

12. You plan for all contingencies. You don't base your strategy on winning, especially...

if you haven't won anything.

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orleans

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Wed Jan-09-08 12:54 AM
Response to Reply #11

13. .

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CyberPieHole

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Tue Jan-08-08 11:40 PM
Response to Reply #1

5. I know what you are suggesting...

but why don't you just spit it out and say what you mean?

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K Gardner

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Tue Jan-08-08 11:49 PM
Response to Reply #5

10. Hate to rain on your parade, but I support Edwards.

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KennedyGuy

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Tue Jan-08-08 11:43 PM
Response to Reply #1

6. Oh stop..competant pollsters were warning to beware of "surge" polling

Edited on Tue Jan-08-08 11:44 PM by KennedyGuy

but too many were caught in rock star mentality to listen.

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Captain Hilts

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Tue Jan-08-08 11:38 PM
Response to Original message

2. This former pollster has been warning people ALL week that HRC and black candidates...

have unique polling patterns.

But did people listen to me? Noooooooo...

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Eurobabe

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Wed Jan-09-08 01:32 AM
Response to Reply #2

16. My Dad lives in NH and siad that at the end of the process

some NH residents are SO sick of the phone calls, etc. that they tell the pollsters what they think they want to hear. So figure that into the calculation.

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Clintonista2

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Tue Jan-08-08 11:38 PM
Response to Original message

3. zomby.. LOL

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BeyondGeography

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Tue Jan-08-08 11:44 PM
Response to Original message

7. Me neither...CNN said the Obama camp saw a 16-point swing in the women vote

from yesterday to today, from plus 3 to Obama to -13. If that's true, the crying incident obviously played a huge role. The other point was it may have led many women to conclude they needed to support her or her candidacy was dead and they didn't want to see that happen.

Still lots more to understand about what happened here. The only poll that was even close was 7News/Suffolk.

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avaistheone1

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Tue Jan-08-08 11:46 PM
Response to Original message

8. I believe the pollsters.

Where there is smoke there is fire. All the studies I am aware of shows the pollsters are right, and the voting machines are wrong.

I am an Edwards supporter. However, I am commited to truth and justice.

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mod mom

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Tue Jan-08-08 11:48 PM
Response to Reply #8

9. truth & justice are sooooo pre-911!

:sarcasm:

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SoCalDemGrrl

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Wed Jan-09-08 01:23 AM
Response to Reply #9

14. Strange- how since 2000 polls are always wrong..something stinks in NH

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BootinUp

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Wed Jan-09-08 01:27 AM
Response to Original message

15. 2 days before the primary there was like 40% saying

they were either undecided or could change their mind.

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