EXIT POLL- CLINTON 39% OBAMA 37%

They work so well, unless George Bush is in the election. Ain't that funny?

to match the final results. That has been a problem many times; the exit polls are "forced" to make the totals match the final vote results with the goal of removing certain sampling biases. For example, if the percent of women in the poll sample differ from that of the poll signin, then you might weight the polling data to "correct" for this difference between the sample and the population.

Unfortunately, they also adjust these weights so that their sample results by candidate are forced to match the tabulated votes; this results in the adjusted exit polls suddenly matching the tabulated results. This would be a valid adjustment if you are looking at the opinion questions. But it completely frustrates any attempts to detect election fraud while providing plenty of "reasons" to explain what might have happened. That is why you really need the raw exit data in order to do any serious auditing of the anomalies.

I got a text message from a mate of mine down here in Australia at least 2 hours before the AP called it for Clinton. The text said that CNN had called it for Clinton. He didn't really understand the system of "calling it" for a candidate and had actually read the exit polls on CNN at that moment. Again, several hours before the votes were finally counted.

Something else happened besides the fraud/shenanigans/cheating that is being referred to by others here on DU.

Can't we just move on to the next state and wait for things to fall into place?

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:sarcasm:

The folks that are suggesting the Clinton's rigged the election now have to prove they rigged the exit polls also...

I saw that women were breaking 47% -34% for Clinton and men were breaking 42% -30% for Obama and there were more women voting I knew mathematically Obama couldn't win unless the exit polls were wrong...

its the last refuge of a losing campaign.

...sometimes we just can't resist pointing out the obvious!

Not one of those had a basic voting election poll that I saw

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This tells me everything except for those numbers: i.e. the total % for each candidate. I see "by gender, by age" etc. but not the totals.

I scrolled all the way to bottom, but still no totals. Are they there somewhere and I'm just not seeing them?

Men and women are binary or mutually exclusive categories... Take the results each candidate got among men and women then divide it by the amount of men and women that participated...

I hope that makes sense...

but you'd think CNN could afford to produce results that you didn't need a calculator to figure out the most basic information, like who won by what %. whatever.

The exit polls' first purpose is to highlight who voted for who and why... The horse race numbers are secondary...

Multiply the percentage of female voters each candidate got by the percentage of female voters in the entire sample, and you get the percentage of the entire sample that candidate got in female voters.

Then do the same thing for male voters.

Then add the percentages together and you get the total percentage of voters that candidate got in the sample.

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I don't know why they don't just give the total %. Silly. But they give the % of voters by gender, so the overall percentages can be calculated. Weight the male and female percentages of the vote by the percentages of each gender and add them together.

;) I assured him that when the exit polls match, it's an indicator that all is on the up and up.

I am glad they matched. No funny business.
I was under the impression that they did not.

Funny thing:

41% of HC voters had positive impression of Bush Administration
29% of Obama voters had positive impression of Bush Administration

or no spin necessary for that one?

...that particular statistic down by gender - without that, one would just be guessing.

They caused a minor revolution in the Ukraine in 2004? and elsewhere in the world.

They were ignored in the US in 2000 and 2004 as evidence of election fraud surfaced in both presidential elections.

And recently they caused upheaval in Kenya. http://en.epochtimes.com/news/7-12-27/63326.html

Pre-election polling for New Hampshire was made difficult by so many new voters and the sudden surge of independnets from Obama to McClain.

But it looks like the exit polls were right on.

in 2000....The media & republicans did their best to try convince everyone the exit aren't reliable only their stealing of votes were....but again, the exit polls were correct in Florida, as we found out, and as they have been everywhere else for century's.

People have no reason to lie coming out of the voting booth who they voted for...but pollsters, and lying partisans do.

It's the tallies that are rigged.

The first reports that leaked from exit polls in 2004 showed a Kerry win. The leaks from NH all afternoo from exit polls were reporting that Clinton could be winning. The earliest "non adjusted" reports were consistent with the final results. That is not how it was in 2004.

They will believe what they want to believe.
:eyes:
Seriously, I wish people would realize that it becomes harder and harder to convince people of the real threat of vote fraud when they cry about it every time they don't like the outcome of an election. It's called crying wolf.