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Latest Nevada Poll: Clinton 35% / Obama 32%/ Edwards 25%

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creeksneakers2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:02 PM
Original message
Latest Nevada Poll: Clinton 35% / Obama 32%/ Edwards 25%
American Research Group, Inc

http://americanresearchgroup.com/
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:04 PM
Response to Original message
1. but it is impossible to poll for caucus likely outcome - just having the caucus during working hours
with paid time off to attend with location in culinary union workplaces should put Obama over the top.
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:43 PM
Response to Reply #1
11. Not necessarliy. IMO Hillary and Edwards will do well with union members too
The union endorsed, but I think the members will vote how they want.
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creeksneakers2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:51 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. This poll has Edwards ahead among union members
34/29/28
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 03:21 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Cool! All the screaming about Hillary disenfranchising culinary workers has never made sense
They all will get votes from the union members. I'm glad JE is doing well. I'd be happy if he picked up SC or Nevada. I'm tired of the media trying to decide this for the voters.
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 06:42 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. I suspect you are correct - but predicting caucus attendance seems near impossible
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 07:37 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. I certainly wouldn't want the job.
I wouldnt want to put my reputation on the line by trying to estimate expected caucus goers either. :)
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NoPasaran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:05 PM
Response to Original message
2. The Keith number here is 12
So it's pretty much anybody's game
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:05 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Keith Richards?


:D
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NoPasaran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:31 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. Keith Olbermann
Uncommitted + Margin of Error = Keith Number

It's his invention, so he modestly named it after himself.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:06 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Not to mention its ARG
We know how trustworthy they have been.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:06 PM
Response to Original message
5. I Would Feel Better If It Was Any Pollster But ARG
~
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:09 PM
Response to Original message
6. Edwards is going to win NV and SC (n/t)
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balantz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:19 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. I feel pretty good about Nevada.
Touchscreen voting with no paper trail in South Carolina makes me nervous, to say the least.
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Occam Bandage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 03:21 PM
Response to Reply #7
14. I'd be more concerned about the 25-30 point deficit in the polling in SC.
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balantz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 03:28 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. I don't trust most of the right-wing poles either,
but I have serious problems with this whole Diebold fix.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:21 PM
Response to Reply #6
21. He has a shot at NV for sure
He has no shot at SC.
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Proud2BAmurkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:21 PM
Response to Original message
8. ooohh sheeeeeyit.
:rofl:
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balantz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 02:24 PM
Response to Original message
9. Considering it's ARG I can safely assume that the poll we saw yesterday
is more like it.
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Flabbergasted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:20 PM
Response to Reply #9
20. ARG is a R polling company
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 07:43 PM
Response to Original message
18. Hillary -10, Obama +14, Edwards +9
Not bad for Obama.
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Califooyah Operative Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:19 PM
Response to Original message
19. Clintons Big Nevada Lead is Gone.
Edited on Wed Jan-16-08 08:19 PM by Califooyah Operative
Edwards and Obama are on the rise.
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-17-08 12:00 AM
Response to Reply #19
22. My opinion is that none of the polling before the first primary are
going to be even close to accurate. Over 90% of the people just aren't paying attention at that point and when polled just shrug their shoulders and throw out a name.
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Califooyah Operative Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-17-08 01:43 AM
Response to Reply #22
23. I agree.
Just pointing out the major shift. There's definately truth in what you're saying but it's not all that happened.
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