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pettypace Donating Member (695 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 02:47 PM
Original message
Obama's HAS to win Nevada
Even with the culinary endorsement, the latest polls are not looking good with him trailing the Clintons. I'm afeard if he loses Nevada, its a sign of things to come in California which has similar demographics.

Methinks everything rests with tomorrow's outcome.

'Change' is one state away from being hammerfucked.
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
1. Calm down...he HAS to win South Carolina
a strong second in Nevada is nothing close to fatal.
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BringBigDogBack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:24 PM
Response to Reply #1
18. This is correct.
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Pathwalker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
2. HAMMERFUCKED? Blech, blech, blech!
Rape is NOT a joke!
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LostinVA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:33 PM
Response to Reply #2
24. Thanks
I was going to respond, but now enough of the OP to decide it was a practice in futilty.

"Jokes" about rape are against DU rules.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
3. I don't think Nevada in any way
correlates to how California will vote. But I agree with you, Nevada is a must win for Obama because Hillary could take the momentum from New Hampshire and Nevada and then win South Carolina. And Super Tuesday wouldn't look good for Obama if that was the case...
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BarackBucks Donating Member (141 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 02:50 PM
Response to Original message
4. You're new at this aren't you?
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Gman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 02:55 PM
Response to Original message
5. Maybe he should quit trying to be the second coming or Reagan
and he might stand a chance in the Democratic primaries.
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 02:55 PM
Response to Original message
6. Why are you concerned about polls after the results in NH? They're not infallible. nt
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truebrit71 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 02:56 PM
Response to Original message
7. Umm..no not at all...besides he's going to WALK home in SC...
...this thing is FAR from over...
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 02:57 PM
Response to Original message
8. I'm very unsure about Nevada
But I dont think he has to win. He needs to finish a close second.
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pampango Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 02:59 PM
Response to Original message
9. I am not sure that losing in Nevada would be that bad, though winning is always better.
He would need to well in South Carolina, but he probably needs to do well there regardless of how he does in Nevada.

Even if he were to win both states, I think he will be a big underdog in California, but he might have a slim chance there and his overall prospects would still be quite good. If he doesn't win either, and Hillary wins big on February 5, then the handwriting may be on the wall and he may want to shift to Plan B (whatever that is).
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suston96 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:00 PM
Response to Original message
10. Stop worrying. The fix is in. Just like in the good old days...
...the unions will deliver their assigned precincts.
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thoughtcrime1984 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. So, Hil is a shoe-in then?
Damn...
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:08 PM
Response to Original message
12. He HAS to win the most delegates
And there's a long way to go.
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MethuenProgressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:12 PM
Response to Original message
13. The Fix is in. He'll win.
It's in the bag.
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DrFunkenstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:13 PM
Response to Original message
14. Change Takes Courage, Not Running Around Henny-Penny
Chin up my good man. Where would abolition and women's suffrage be with such fragile hearts?
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NoBorders Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:16 PM
Response to Original message
15. Wrong.
If he loses SC, it would be problematic for him. NV, not so much.
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:18 PM
Response to Original message
16. This is only the third contest. He doesn't HAVE to win anything
Edited on Fri Jan-18-08 03:18 PM by BrentTaylor
right now. If anything Clinton HAS to win there. COnsidering she was up 20 points there at one point
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ZinZen Donating Member (599 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:22 PM
Response to Original message
17. My prediction is that Hillary will win NV
She has been polling strongly there for months and the DEM party is strongly behind her. I still think Obama is in the game and will go on and win SC. Here in CA, we are such a strange independent bunch of voters. If Obama does well on the ground he will be neck in neck with Hillary.
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BringBigDogBack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:25 PM
Response to Original message
19. tho this is an ignorant statement
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:26 PM
Response to Original message
20. Even the pollsters don't believe the polls...
They freely admit that they don't have a handle on how to poll for this caucus. But they get paid for polls, so you've got to come out with something...
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:31 PM
Response to Original message
21. NV is a must win for Hillary
Should Obama win there, he would be pulling an upset.
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Perry Logan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:32 PM
Response to Original message
22. Make up your minds, you guys.
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:33 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. lol true, btw love your youtube videos
keep 'em up
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Tropics_Dude83 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 03:45 PM
Response to Original message
25. We are at a knife's edge-I agree
Senator Clinton is perhaps just 23 hours away from locking this up.
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leftynyc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 04:00 PM
Response to Reply #25
26. I don't think so
I understand what you're saying - that momentum will propel her towards super Tuesday - but I really feel this early on it's anybody's game and the "have to win" statements are premature.
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