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If there's anything this campaign has taught us it is that predictions are useless.

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 04:09 PM
Original message
If there's anything this campaign has taught us it is that predictions are useless.
Instead of saying "Obama has the advantage because of Culinary workers!" or "Hillary has the advantage because polls show her slightly ahead!" why don't we stop wasting bandwidth and just let the people in Nevada caucus tomorrow without us trying to tell them what the result is ahead of time?

If Iowa and New Hampshire have taught us anything so far it is that results can be quite different than we expect.
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stillcool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
1. ban the polls.
ban the endorsements
ban the recounts.
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TwilightZone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-18-08 04:30 PM
Response to Original message
2. Expectations are part of the process.
So much is made of momentum that polls have become an entrenched part of the cycle. Even after they were proven highly inaccurate (or at the very least, too slow to gauge last-minute changes), everybody hops right back on the poll bandwagon.
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