Why a strong second place finish in NV is good for Obama

Clinton has been ahead in NV for months, sometimes by as much as 20 points.

Clinton has made a long and concerted effort to win Latino voters. Latinos like Bill Clinton. A strong second place finish for Obama will show that Hillary does not have a monopoly on those voters.

The Clinton machine has been entrenched in NV. Remember the NV debate a couple months ago? The crowd was cheering everything Hillary said, and would often boo and hiss when Obama spoke.

A strong second place (3-5 points within Hillary) will show that Obama is gaining steam nationally, and growing stronger heading into South Carolina.

Today's caucus is Hillary's to lose. If Obama can just keep it close, he has a moral victory in my book.

If Clinton wins, it's a "miraculous comeback" from losing the CWU vote and having all those nasty (:cry:) ads against her.

If Obama wins, it was "expected". Never mind that he never led in any polls except outliers.

Hillary has been ahead in NV for months.

for the last three days

Hillary is expected to win the NV caucuses. Look at the polls, money, infrastructure, local endorsements.

Those casino caucuses may make a huge difference and there's no way to know till we get the results. But spin away, darling.

who are you kidding?

Hillary was favored by double digits as little as two weeks ago. Has Obama whittled away at her lead? Perhaps. But she is clearly still favored to win there. A strong second is good news for the Obama camp.

the caucuses are all about pressure, arm twisting and intimidation.

Hillary is favored in all of them.

I thought of it first:

...(Hillary's) winning "handily" is the key, (b)ecause if she wins by only a couple of points, her opponents will not back down--and the voters will start seeing her as a mere mortal.
--Rocknation, Nov. 18

:headbang:
rocknation

Clinton is coming off a surprise win in New Hampshire.
Clinton is far more known across the state than Obama.
Clinton has poured more money into the state than Obama.
Clinton held a commanding lead just a month ago.

The only advantage Obama has is the fact he received the union endorsement.

A victory for Hillary could give her some serious mo heading into So. Carolina, which might tilt a tight race. If Obama wins Nevada, he should easily win South Carolina and will probably win the nomination. If he loses Nevada, it's entirely possible he'll lose South Carolina too and then he's done.

But even if he wins South Carolina on the heels of a Nevada loss, Clinton will still have an advantage in many key Super Tuesday states.

The only advantage that Obama has is that some in the media get him.....but it ain't enough.

The clinton machine is gonna roll over any Democrat stand in their way....

Then in November, they will have drug all of us into the mud so far, till we will need shovels just to get out.

That's what I feel coming down the pipe.