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SECOND Poll Confirms Edwards Upwards Movement in South Carolina

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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:03 PM
Original message
SECOND Poll Confirms Edwards Upwards Movement in South Carolina
Edited on Thu Jan-24-08 04:22 PM by jsamuel
Clemson University's Palmetto Poll of Saturday's Democratic primary, released earlier today, shows Obama with 27%, Clinton with 20%, and Edwards close behind with 17%; 36% said they were undecided. The poll was conducted from January 15 to 23, and therefore may understate late breaking movement in favor of Edwards. Here is a link to the poll results:


http://www.clemson.edu/newsroom/articles/2008/january/Summary_CU_Palmetto_Poll.pdf

Note that the poll was conducted from Jan. 15th to the 23rd. That means only two of the days polled were after the debate.

PS. - The Edwards campaign needs $65,000 by tonight to run ads all day tomorrow in South Carolina.
Please think about donating:
http://www.johnedwards.com/watch/native-son-movie

Also, consider phone banking for Edwards:
http://www.johnedwardsphonebank.com
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judaspriestess Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:04 PM
Response to Original message
1. Yeah Baby!!
Go John Go!!:bounce: :bounce: :bounce:
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Seabiscuit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:04 PM
Response to Original message
2. Yeah Baby! Go Edwards!
:bounce: :dem:
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:04 PM
Response to Original message
3. 36% undecided? Holy Moly. Lets get ready to rumble!!!!!!!!!!
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:08 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. Good news for Edwards!
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suston96 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:04 PM
Response to Original message
4. That's incredible news. For both Clinton and Edwards.
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AndyA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:05 PM
Response to Original message
5. Go, Johnny, GO!
People are finally getting the message and figuring it out! :thumbsup:
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:05 PM
Response to Original message
6. Oh my gosh! Edwards could win this thing!!
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:06 PM
Response to Original message
7. Clinton camp: "oohhhhhh fuuuuuck"
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:06 PM
Response to Original message
8. The way this is going is towards a 3 way tie in SC

Thats bad news for Obama in a big big way.
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:08 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. you wish
:rofl:
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:09 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. I'd laugh if it did just to picture your face.
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knowledgeispwr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:09 PM
Response to Reply #8
13. Why?
How is that bad news in a "big big way"?

Iowa wasn't a death knell for Clinton and Edwards, New Hampshire wasn't a death knell or Obama and Edwards and so on and so forth.

We have a long way to go and hopefully people will stop trumpeting the end of one of the top three's campaign so early on.
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:10 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Well lets see

Obama who had a huge lead like NH only to lose that huge lead again, i think that would not be good. Do you?
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:17 PM
Response to Reply #14
21. Actually it was Hillary who had for the longest time a huge lead in NH
and Obama will win SC but it's becoming more probable that Hillary will come in third--her second third place showing of the campaign if that happens. That can't be spinned away when she was very competitive in SC up until her disastrous debate performance on Monday night.
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NastyRiffraff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:07 PM
Response to Original message
9. Whoa!!!!! Go John!
Saturday will be nail-biting time. I'd LOVE to see him win SC, or at least place second. The scream of pain you'll hear will be from the MSM.
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chimpymustgo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:10 PM
Response to Original message
15. Be still my heart! Don't forget to DONATE today. See John's awesome video here:
The campaign needs $65,000 today to run a new spot in South Carolina:

See the advertisement and contribute here:

http://www.johnedwards.com/watch/native-son-movie /

(thanks to DU'er Kerry2008 - got the info link & from her post)
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ladjf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:42 PM
Response to Reply #15
29. Just made my weekly donation.
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SammyWinstonJack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:11 PM
Response to Original message
16. Oh Yeah!
:woohoo: :bounce: :woohoo: :bounce:
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OHdem10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:12 PM
Response to Original message
17. 35 % undecided---that happened in other states--large undecideds
You go John
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
18. From your link:
"Barack Obama leads all candidates with about a seven point lead over Hillary Clinton.
Obama is getting more than three-quarters of the African-American vote in South Carolina, and
Hillary Clinton is getting the majority of what remains. In the previous Palmetto Polls, Clinton
and Obama were splitting the black vote evenly, but now the momentum has shifted to Obama.
John Edwards is receiving less than 4 percent of the black vote here."
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
19. Wow huge undecideds
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Ninga Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:16 PM
Response to Original message
20. K & R
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southern_belle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:17 PM
Response to Original message
22. Please consider phone banking for Edwards
Link is http://www.johnedwardsphonebank.com/

It took them about 3 hours to get back to me after they confirmed that I was who I said I was. So far, I've made 5 calls and nobody has been home. I will call back later in the evening when people will more likely be home.
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suston96 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:19 PM
Response to Original message
23. I just read the poll .....
It says: "An important statistic for the Democratic primary in South
Carolina is that slightly more than half the electorate is African-American. In this poll, 55
percent of the respondents were African-American and 58 percent were female. "

Don't know about that. This from the SOS SC Election division:

Total registered voters in SC: 2,246,242
Total voted in Repub primary: 442,789
That leaves: 1,803,453

Of that: non-white registered voters: 629,000

That leaves total white registered voters 1,174,353

That is almost 2 to 1 white to non-white voters.

Other tables indicate that the 4.3 million population of SC is 29% non-white.



http://www.state.sc.us/cgi-bin/scsec/96vr?countykey=ALL&D1=RACE
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:35 PM
Response to Reply #23
25. I think its clear none of us have any idea whats going to happen on Sat.
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suston96 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:43 PM
Response to Reply #25
30. That's correct.......
Remember the NH primary was set to be a blow-out for Obama?

I will patiently wait for gameday. But looking at the numbers is fun.
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:47 PM
Response to Reply #23
31. Not every Republican voted in their primary
The figures indicated are for the Democratic Party. 55% of the Dem Party in SC is AA, 58% are women.
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suston96 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 05:06 PM
Response to Reply #31
34. There is no political party designation when registering to vote in SC.
So if you didn't vote last week you can vote this week. As long as you registered 30 days before the election.

I subtracted the totals of those who voted in the Republican primary and that left the total registered voters available to vote in the Democratic party on Saturday, some 1.1 million.

Now, not all will vote for sure. But I believe it will be very high. More so for non-whites, one of the listed groups who number 649 thousand. They often approach 80%. I predict 90% non-whites for this election. I will be surprised if 60% whites show up.

It's clearly an exciting primary but weather may also be a factor.
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:21 PM
Response to Original message
24. this deserves to be kicked.
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CorpGovActivist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:36 PM
Response to Original message
26. KNPnta
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redqueen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:38 PM
Response to Original message
27. Go, Johnny, GO GO GO!
:bounce:
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
28. This seems fishy... If Obama had 60% of the AA vote that would give him 27% right there
and he doesn't have 0% white support... hard to see how he could be at 27%
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AzDar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 04:52 PM
Response to Original message
32. Not to resort to hyperbole or anything..... But for the Sweet Love Of Jeebus
Jalapeno Kee-rist, people....VOTE EDWARDS!!!
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Plucketeer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-24-08 05:01 PM
Response to Original message
33. Very encouraging news!
I'm gonna phonebank for John. Gotta do more than just send money (not that that doesn't matter. I'll be sending another donation tomorrow!). The rest of my life and the lives of all my bloodline are at stake.
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