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Does anyone really think that Obama is going to win SC in the General...

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WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:36 PM
Original message
Does anyone really think that Obama is going to win SC in the General...
Winning a primary comprised of the minority of voters in a southern state is not a great predictor of what will happen come November...

The only clear reality out of this is Edwards is finished...

It does show that Obama is capturing more of his natural base...

Which could play into other states that have large minority populations...

In the primaries, that is...
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
1. Ha. Of course not, but nor will Hillary or any other Dem.
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graywarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
2. Can Hillary win SC in the general?
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:38 PM
Response to Original message
3. The Dems turned out 2:1 over the pukes.
I doubt any Dem would carry SC, though.

A Dem win isn't dependent on SC.
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tammywammy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 08:20 PM
Response to Reply #3
21. Weather was a factor in turn out
It was really nasty last Saturday and nice today.
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Gravelman Donating Member (15 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:38 PM
Response to Original message
4. Obama did...ha:)
I prefer gravel but Obama is the second Choice for the Dems.
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:40 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. Hi Gravelman!
Welcome to DU! :hi:

I LOVE your guy!
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Gravelman Donating Member (15 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:52 PM
Response to Reply #7
17. Thanks
Thank you, I just wish people would listen and vote for him:)
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:39 PM
Response to Original message
5. I think Obama's showings in ALL of the caucuses and primaries thus far
are pretty much shattering the belief that he's appealing primarily to minorities.

It makes me hopeful that maybe this country isn't as racist as I feared.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:39 PM
Response to Original message
6. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:41 PM
Response to Reply #6
10. Can't anyone make a statement without someone making it part
of the fucking argumentative tone that has descended on DU...

It's reality, OKAY!!!!
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featherman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:41 PM
Response to Original message
8. If by "natural base" you mean 50% of white voters under 30
then you are correct
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WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:43 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. White voters under 30 is a pretty slim demographic to pin hopes upon...
If you looked at historical voting trends you would notice they just don't get involved or vote en mass...
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monmouth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:41 PM
Response to Original message
9. Of course he can (???)...Look at the numbers and maps again..n/t
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Cleita Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:41 PM
Response to Original message
11. Why is Edwards finished?
All it proves is that in South Carolina 70% of the African Americans voted for Obama. Half the whites voted Republican and what was left divided the votes between Clinton and Edwards. Once we move into the states that aren't so heavily Republican on the white side, you may see a different vote emerge.
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WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:44 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. A fairly weak showing in his home state....
That's why I believe he is finished...

And he was my first choice for November...
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Cleita Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 08:17 PM
Response to Reply #13
19. I don't think he will come in first but I don't think he's finished yet
until super Tuesday is over.
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chascarrillo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:45 PM
Response to Original message
14. Read: "Black voters don't count."
Fuck that. Go away with your racism. We don't want you.
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lurky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:47 PM
Response to Original message
15. No Dem has won SC in the GE since
Jimmy Carter in 1976. I don't think any of them are banking on it, or Mississippi, Alabama, any of those Deep South states.
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Starbucks Anarchist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:47 PM
Response to Original message
16. He won lily-white Iowa.
:shrug:
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John Q. Citizen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 07:57 PM
Response to Original message
18. I love it when losers don't learn from their mistakes. It means they will keep losing. Keep it up!
Keep race baiting! I hope Bill sticks to it also.
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Crunchy Frog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-26-08 08:19 PM
Response to Original message
20. No. Edwards wouldn't win it either. n/t
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