The pre-election poll average in New Hampshire was:
Obama 36.7
Clinton 30.4
Edwards 18.4
The final results were:
Clinton 39
Obama 37
Edwards 17
So the polls nailed Obama and Edwards, while Clinton picked up the undecided vote. But overall, it was about a 10-point difference between the polls and the actual results.
Of course, this launched the Mother of All Whines, with morons across the internet charging fraud without knowing what the hell they were talking about. But it was Clinton! And she won! And of course, that meant that her victory couldn't have been legitimate.
So let's go to South Carolina.
The pre-election poll average in South Carolina was:
Obama 43.1
Clinton 28.5
Edwards 17
The final results were:
Obama 55
Clinton 27
Edwards 18
So again, the polls pretty much nailed the second and third spots, but ... wait ... what's this? Obama got 12 points more than the polls indicated? Overall, the poll average was 14 points off from the final results, worse than in New Hampshire. So this could only mean ONE THING -- FRAUD!!!!!!!!
Did I mention that South Carolina uses ES&S touch screen machines with no paper trail?
But funny how there's nothing but silence out there. Is there any doubt that if the results were reversed, and if Hillary had outperformed the polls by 12 points, that people would once again be crying about fraud, demanding recounts in the Palmetto State, and concocting all manners of fantastical theories to rationalize their skepticism? Apparently, since Clinton didn't win South Carolina, the voting machines worked perfectly.
Perhaps the cries of fraud in New Hampshire had little to do with actual concerns about electoral integrity, and everything to do with irrational Clinton hatred and the pathological need to see dark conspiracies even were none exist?. (Apparently the Clinton cabal is capable of the darkest, most sinister conspiracies, but the Obama cabal is not.)
New Hampshire was crying "wolf!", and for all the wrong reasons. As a result, they did the legitimate cause of electoral reform few favors.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/1/29/10323/8025/682/444774