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Ok lets crunch last nights Primary Numbers

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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 08:25 AM
Original message
Ok lets crunch last nights Primary Numbers

Lets discuss Florida, its racially diversive and more representativ of the nation big states as a whole.

Facts :

: Clinton won most counties last easily
: The Democratic turnout was huge over 1.7 Million and may not yet contain absentee ballots
: Hillary won by approximately 300,000 votes
: The vote Difference last night between HRC and BO was the total he got in South Carolina
: The total vote last night in Florida was more than Iowa, NH, Nevada and SC combined. Wow.
: Clinton won over independents when she apparently doesnt "win" independents by 40% to 30% over Obama
: Clinton won the diverse Palm Beach in a landslide by 60% and Broward county by 57% and Dade by 52%
: Clinton won all age groups and excelled in the older age group.
: Clinton won 27% of black voters compared to Obama's 22% of white voters
: Clinton won females again and took the male vote also
: Less than 50% thought Kennedy's endorsement was important
: More people thought Clinton was more qualified to be CIC by a wide margin
: Again Clinton whalloped the Non college degree demographic by 52% to 28%
: Clinton is winning handily among poorer voters but won all income groups last night.
: Clinton took Hispanics by more than 2:1
: Iraq which is supposedly Obama's card was won again by Hillary
: Its the economy again, stupid, this is definitely the No 1 issue now by 91% of voter concern
: Clinton won 65's and older AGAIN by over 35% ahead of Obama, a definite pattern
: Obama took 70% of Black voters again and Clinton 27% of black voters.
: This one is new, they all took about an equal amount of Republican voters.
: Clinton won Liberals and moderates by over 52% and tied with conservatives at 32% with Obama.
: Again Clinton won Experience by 83% to Edwards 11 and Obama's 3%, thats consistent again.
: Exit polls indicated public ready for a woman President before an African American President
: Clinton won Jewish vote 58% to Obama's 26%
: In last 3 days, Clinton and Obama both got 36% and of voters votes, what does that mean about SC.
: Only 80% of Obama's voters said he could unite the country to 11% for Clinton, 5 for Edwards
: 96% of Clintons supporters say she can unite the country to 3% for Obama, 1 for Edwards.

This is taken from the various exit polls.

Cnn's Bob Schneider stated last night there seems to be a bad trend here for Obama going into Super Tuesday, he has not been able to raise his votes among Whites, hispanics, jewish and womens votes. If this continues, he could not see how Obama wins more than a 1/3 of what he needs. The experience vote for Obama is again poor (3%) to Hillary's 83% ,I'd be worried about that one with independents and people with real economic concerns.

Clinton's only problem at present it seems is the black vote which is running very high for Obama but she is making big showing in that demographic of between 20 to 30% of what will be a smaller African American population going into Super Tuesday. If Clinton continues winning large in hispanic, jewish, and women and white voters. It may well be all over come Feb 6th morning.

I think there are genuine concerns coming out these exit polls, we cannot fault that, its backing up what has happened in a lot of states so far. Certain demographics are not changing.




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Submariner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 08:28 AM
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1. Billary got no delegates so she didn't win anything n/t
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LostinVA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 08:34 AM
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4. Stop with the damned RW FR slurs on here
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 11:05 AM
Response to Reply #1
5. oh yes she did
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 08:28 AM
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2. Encouraging to see Indys go to Hillary.
November is looking good.
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sunonmars Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 08:32 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Yeah she's taking over Obama's supposed strong cards
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