Clinton Camp says they have already locked up California because of early votes

The last exit poll I saw had Hillary beating Obama 53-30% in the early voting. With an expected 47% of votes being early in California, Obama will have to beat her by 11% on 2/5 in California just to TIE.

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5iUmzhpKDYkzYIeGyArNNQRz0bnOgD8UGFB201

CALIFORNIA (370 pledged delegates)

With more than a fifth of the Feb. 5 delegates, California is Super Tuesday's richest prize. The state has long been a Clinton stronghold — so much so that her California campaign director already has predicted victory.

"We've got it," director Ace Smith said, noting that the campaign has already met or exceeded early voting targets that are considered a strong indicator of primary day performance. About half of the state's Democrats are expected to cast absentee ballots, and many began nearly a month ago, on Jan. 7.

Clinton is trying to consolidate strength in Los Angeles, where she has the backing of Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa's political machine as well as large numbers of her base supporters, including lower- and middle-income workers and Hispanics.

Obama's campaign is strongest in the San Francisco Bay area, where high-income white voters are backing him as they are nationwide. He is also popular among the state's black voters who mostly live in Oakland and parts of Los Angeles.

With so many delegates at stake, Obama is investing heavily in the state in hopes of staying competitive. He's begun running television ads in Los Angeles, one of the nation's costliest TV markets, and has launched an aggressive outreach program to Hispanic voters who so far have shown little interest in his candidacy.

Democracy is dead in America. Sieg Hill!

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x3162957

& those that follow the stampede over the cliff

sadly, Hilary will solidify the neoconFascists & Limbaughs of these U.S.

be lucky to break even with Election Day voters out here in CA. The early vote is too much to expect to overcome and many of those (10%) will go to Edwards, Kucinich and others. This may have the effect of keeping Obama well under 40% overall with less of a share of delegates than Clinton.

I'll take a 60-40 percentile delegate split coming out of CA though... good enough under the circumstances