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Hillary's National Numbers Dropping Like A Stone. She Lost A 20 Point Lead In 10 Days!

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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:23 PM
Original message
Hillary's National Numbers Dropping Like A Stone. She Lost A 20 Point Lead In 10 Days!
Edited on Wed Jan-30-08 09:25 PM by cryingshame
And Obama has shown a gift for shrinking or overcoming her leads whenever he campaigns in person.



THAT GALLUP POLL
You've probably seen the Gallup poll out today that shows a mere 6 points separating Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama nationwide. More striking to me than the number though is the trendline. Here's the graph from the daily samples Gallup is now doing ...


As you can see, ten days ago, Hillary had a 20 point margin. Then starting about a week ago, Barack's been edging up and she's been edging down a little less than a point a day. What's striking to me about this is the continuing volatility even after Obama's break out in Iowa. Usually the underdog/insurgent candidate (which Obama mainly is, but not so much on the money side) has a big run up in support after an early win. But once you have that, what's the next boffo news story that drives up your numbers again? Particularly after you've fallen back? You need some major development to reshuffle the deck. And it seemed to happen around the 20th of the month.

--Josh Marshall
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Rosa Luxemburg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:24 PM
Response to Original message
1. A week is a long time in politics
anything could happen

it's going to close though
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:26 PM
Response to Original message
2. No wonder she had to claim the empty victory in Florida
She really needed something.
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ursi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:42 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. I agree!
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ShockediSay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:31 PM
Response to Original message
3. Vote for Hilary if
you want to continue the divisive partianship in our nation

Not her fault, it's just recent history

Also, she could be the one galvanizing force for
the neo-con right wing fascist to unite
& defeat us
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BlackVelvet04 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:41 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. what issues are you willing to compromise with the republicans on?
Abortion rights?
Gay marriage?
Perpetual war against terror?
Government wire tapping?
Gitmo?
Torture?

Just what are you willing to compromise with the republicans on?
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LordJFT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 01:32 AM
Response to Reply #5
16. Obama has better stands on gay marriage and gitmo
and is pretty much the same with Hillary on the rest
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suston96 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:38 PM
Response to Original message
4. Pure nonsense...
That may be by 2 Gallup polls. Go to RCP and get a real history of the last 10 days on average and you will see that she has been where she is now for several weeks.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html
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KennedyGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:56 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. don't insult them with the facts please..
it makes them irrational...
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ErnestoG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:42 PM
Response to Original message
6. Notice the corresponding rise in Obama's numbers
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:42 PM
Response to Original message
7. If was able to Campaign in Florida
it would of been a different story there
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:55 PM
Response to Original message
9. Sad. She is losing support so rapidly. It means she'll go even more negative.
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ErnestoG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:58 PM
Response to Reply #9
13. This ought to give you a glimpse of the GE. She is going to be liquified.
Oh, what suckage if she gets the nom. I won't be able to watch.
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Occam Bandage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:56 PM
Response to Original message
11. Keep up the negativity, Clinton camp! We're counting on you!
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:57 PM
Response to Original message
12. Obama does close the gap when he campaigns in person but...
The time for retail politics is over, especially on Super Tuesday when 22 states will vote. However, Obama is running a very effective campaign so he can gain ground. I talk about this in my thread on his Delaware campaign.
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 11:21 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. you are correct, little time left. Can't find Delaware thread....
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 11:54 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. Delaware thread
He is doing everything he possibly can. At least in my state he is running a much better campaign than Hillary.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=4305131&mesg_id=4305131
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 01:45 AM
Response to Reply #15
17. Thanks for the report, jackson
If you have any more reports, I'd love to hear them.
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