Obama holds a three-point lead among white voters in CA

So much for the Obama can't win the white vote meme. Atleast according to this poll.

The Hispanic vote is a different story though.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/california/election_2008_california_democratic_presidential_primary

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in California shows Hillary Clinton with a very narrow three-percentage point lead over Barack Obama. The survey was conducted in the hours immediately following Florida’s Presidential Primary and before John Edwards dropped out of the race.

Two weeks ago, Clinton led Obama by five percentage points in California.

The survey found Edwards with 9% of the vote while 4% said they would vote for some other candidate and another 4% were not sure.

Obama had a narrow 43% to 41% advantage among the party’s liberal voters while Clinton held a 45% to 35% edge among moderate voters.

Obama held a three-point lead among white voters in the state while Clinton had a twenty-seven point lead among Hispanic voters.

Clinton trailed by eight points among men but led by ten among women.

Obama is viewed favorably by 83% of California’s Democratic Primary Voters, Clinton by 79%.

Sixty-nine percent (69%) of the state’s voters were certain they had settled on their final choice. That meant nearly a third could still change their mind, a figure that grew when Edwards left the race.

Forty-six percent (46%) said the top voting issue is the economy while 29% mentioned the War in Iraq. Clinton led by fifteen among those who view the economy as the highest priority. Obama led by eight among those who view the War as the top voting issue.

A Rasmussen Reports analysis of the Democratic race notes that “The numbers still favor Clinton. But, as every sports fan knows, sometimes the numbers don’t matter. Sometimes things just fall into place for an upset. More often than not, the underdog comes up a bit short—but not always.”

:hi:

Sample Clinton Obama Edwards Spread

RCP Average 01/13 - 01/27 - 44.2 32.2 11.0 Clinton +12.0

SurveyUSA 01/27 - 01/27 888 LV 49 38 9 Clinton +11.0

Politico/CNN/LAT 01/23 - 01/27 690 LV 49 32 14 Clinton +17.0

USA Today/Gallup 01/23 - 01/26 779 HT 47 35 10 Clinton +12.0

Field 01/14 - 01/20 377 LV 39 27 10 Clinton +12.0

PPIC 01/13 - 01/20 543 LV 43 28 11 Clinton +15.0

Rasmussen 01/14 - 01/14 897 LV 38 33 12 Clinton +5.0

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ca/california_democratic_primary-259.html

Outdated polls?

Averages are more reliable as they factor in several current polls from different pollsters.

But hey, drink your champagne if it makes you feel better.

:shrug:

and older voters.

It's fair to say that if 47% are vote by mail, that well over half of those votes are Republican votes.

There are a lot of Democrats to show up at the polls on Tuesday. Nevermind that late deciders probably have not mailed their ballots and as I have often done, fill them out later and drop them at the polls Election Day.

Because there are SO many Hispanic Americans that have pictures of JFK on their walls at home, often near a picture or icon of the Virgin de Guadalupe.

The Kennedy factor will be in play for the Hispanic American vote.

not JFK and we've moved beyond that. My parents and I are not influenced in the least by the Kennedys today. In those days we used to vote as we were advised by our local Dem party leaders. Now that we are better informed having access to the internet etc., we are not obedient sheep. We can make up our own minds concerning who will better represent our concerns, needs and wishes.

right?

now its 3 overall. These are interesting numbers compared to other polling companies that have showed her with double digits in the past 2 weeks. Rasmussen seems to have a very unique polling technique - maybe due to the fact that so far their sampling is for one day only.