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A Matchup Starts to Take Shape: David Broder says it's looking like McCain v. Obama

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DeepModem Mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 01:39 PM
Original message
A Matchup Starts to Take Shape: David Broder says it's looking like McCain v. Obama
WP: A Matchup Starts to Take Shape
By David S. Broder
Thursday, January 31, 2008; Page A21

Heading into Tuesday's unprecedented day of voting in two dozen states, a degree of order is finally emerging in the dramatic races for the presidential nominations of both parties....

John McCain has the easiest path remaining to the Republican nomination, with Mitt Romney needing some kind of dramatic breakthrough Tuesday to keep his hopes of an upset alive. On the Democratic side, the battle is closer, but the advantage has shifted back to Barack Obama -- thanks to a growing but largely unremarked-upon tendency among Democratic leaders to reject Hillary Clinton and her husband, the former president.

The New York senator could still emerge from the "Tsunami Tuesday" voting with the overall lead in delegates, but she is unlikely to come close to clinching the nomination. And the longer the race goes on, the better the chances Obama will prevail as more Democratic elected officials and candidates come to view him as the better bet to defeat McCain in November....

***

...Clinton has already demonstrated her resilience by fighting uphill battles to prevail in New Hampshire and Nevada and because she retains formidable alliances and organizational strengths. But in the past two weeks, there has been a remarkable shift of establishment opinion against her and against the prospect of placing the party's 2008 chances in the hands of her husband, Bill Clinton....

The Clintons' negatives have brought much support to Obama, most notably that of Ted Kennedy, the most prestigious figure in the Democratic establishment in Washington. But it is also Obama's own appeal that is being talked about across the country, from Massachusetts to Arizona, by the younger generation of governors, senators and representatives who share with him an eagerness to "turn the page" on the battles of the past.

Obama is not inevitable, but the longer the race continues, the greater that hunger will be. And the growing recognition of McCain's appeal to independents also works in Obama's favor.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/30/AR2008013003213.html?nav=most_emailed
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Benhurst Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 01:50 PM
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1. David Broder, unintentionally funny as always.
On the rare occasion the "dean” of the Washington punditry comes anywhere near getting a story right, a national holiday should be declared.
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Big Blue Marble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 02:05 PM
Response to Reply #1
8. Ad hominems are always a good argument,
especially when you don't like the message.
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Proud2BAmurkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 01:50 PM
Response to Original message
2. out of touch and always wrong
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 02:25 PM
Response to Reply #2
15. actually, the facts PROVE Obama shrinks the Clinton's lead every time. She's nowhere to go but down
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 01:50 PM
Response to Original message
3. I can visualize that.
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 01:52 PM
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4. Yup. same guy who said "Dems better vote for Dean or be sorry."...Love Boat
Edited on Thu Jan-31-08 01:54 PM by robbedvoter
They know what we want those media whores, don't they?(at least for now) And before you say he was right, soon after the primary was sown, he was back to his usual Bush pimping.
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formernaderite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 02:08 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. well i'd agree..we should have backed Dean
He was a championship fighter...Kerry a bit too luke warm.
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 01:55 PM
Response to Original message
5. I said this 3 days ago
when I saw our right wing daily rag write a glowing editorial of Obama and Ted Kennedy. Hell actually froze over for a little while.

The corporations, news media and GOP have chosen their slate. Its been decided, the primary is over.

Not only that, they've also decide who wins the GE. Here's a hint. It isn't going to be Obama.
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Big Blue Marble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 02:03 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. If Obama wins the nomination OzarkDem
I will hold you to that prediction. Because if he wins the nomination, he wins the presidency.
It will be like nothing you have seen since Reagan won in 1980.

This country will go for the newness of Obama. The country is exhausted by the politics of division and the Bush Administration.
It is ready to turn the page. Assuming he wins this spring, I will check back with you in November.
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 02:09 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. Voters aren't in charge of who gets elected president
They haven't been since Gore won in 2000. Do you really think that's changed?

Why would corporate America want a GOP wannabe in the White House when they can have a real Republican?

If by some miracle Obama is allowed to win, it will be because he has sold his entire presidency to his corporate donors. He's already sold them his senate seat. Why would the White House be any different?

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Big Blue Marble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 02:19 PM
Original message
First most of his donations come from small donors like me.
Second you are of course right corporations rule this country no matter who is elected to the presidency.

It is the little show that they allow us every four years so we think we are making a contribution.

This time, though I think the people will choose Obama and the corps will allow it. And they
will exert undue influence on the process of governing as always. You are right to be skeptical
and wary of the process.

I do think that Obama is as a progressive interested in reducing this influence with the support of
a united people. I think he will be partially successful in doing so.

I know that I would much rather have an influential progressive like Obama in the Whitehouse resisting corporate control than a
influential conservative like Reagan convincing the people to go along with corporate control.
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 02:11 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. Lots of colorblind kids will be turning 18 in the next 10 months.
If they vote (and I believe they will) Obama will win with the greatest landslide victory in American history.
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 02:12 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. But will their votes be counted?
Recall 2000 and 2004?
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 02:19 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Probably not.
That's why we have to win by at least 20%.
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Big Blue Marble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 02:23 PM
Response to Reply #11
14. You are so right tridim.
Think, too, how many black voters will want to contribute to that historic landslide.
New black voters who had never believed in the process.

It will be an awesome moment in our history.
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-31-08 02:00 PM
Response to Original message
6. Sometimes he gets it right
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