How is Obama up by 16 in Georgia and down by 33 in TN?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/latestpolls/index.html

The Insider Advantage Polls....???

:shrug:

In GA than in TN. Significantly larger.

which doesnt really make much sense to me.

lives in Memphis. She is African American. She is unsure about Barack. She is crazy about Bill Clinton. Lately, I have noticed her saying positive things about Barack but I still don't know how she will vote. My FIL (also African American) said over the summer he was going to go with Hillary because of Bill. Also, he did not think a black man had a shot. Recently, he changed his mind and said he will be supporting Barack. I think because Barack has not been to Memphis the people don't know much about him. Many watch the local news but not really the national news so they are probably not hearing much about him. I don't know. I would not put too much money in TN if I was in Barack's shoes.

why is he only leading in Southern states (and tied in Connecticut) but trailing in the North and West? maybe people in the South like him more?

than the rest of the US.

Look at his rallies.

Doesn't matter, though. I'm voting for the white male in the race.

Gravel ROCKS!

Check the internals

Harold Ford Jr is friends with Barack. If he is supporting Barack I think he could really help to at least get out the black vote in Barack's favor in Memphis. However, I have not heard anything about that. I don't think Barack plans to go to Memphis. He should have showed up in Nashville and Memphis like Hillary did to at least get some votes. He should not even waste his time in eastern TN. There is no way they will vote for an African American for president in that part of TN. He has the best shot in Memphis. It is a large city with a lot of African Americans. For some reason he is not even campaigning there. Perhaps he thinks it is a long shot and he wants to firm up support in states where he has a better chance. There has to be a reason he has not planned a stop there...

a fellow DLCer. He has not campaigned in TN for Obama .

Harold Ford Jr probably decided to stay out of it since he is friends with both of them. I know my mom mentioned that Hillary was in Memphis but she did not mention anything about Harold Ford Jr so I'm assuming he was not there with Hillary.

Just, the poll with the 33% margin is bogus.

Another talented speaker. African American.

Loses to the southern white guy.

Ford may be a DLCer and Obama isn't.

But still.

but I think Barack is a much better speaker.

is demographics.

There are basically two centers of African American population in TN, the Nashville metro area in Middle Tennessee and West Tennessee near the Mississippi River (including Memphis). I would be willing to bet the proximity to Arkansas allows Clinton to very well in African American communities in West Tennessee. If there is a poll out for Arkansas, I would be willing to bet its internals line up with the Tennessee poll. Obama probably performs somewhat better in the Nashville area, which for the most part could care less about Arkansas.

by 80-17, her largest margin.
No sure what polling methods were used for this one but that is an unexplainable anomoly

Hillary hasn't been ahead in Georgia for January. Hillary ahead by double digits in Tennessee in January.

but not by that wide of a margin...


http://www.nashvillecitypaper.com/news.php?viewStory=58675

<All the same, a Public Policy Polling survey released Tuesday of 753 likely Democratic primary voters in Tennessee has Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.) leading Obama 43 percent to 32 percent>

I've been on the 'street team' down here in Savannah

Got a big push planned for this Friday thru Tuesday.