http://americanresearchgroup.com/or/George W. Bush and John Kerry are tied among likely voters in Oregon according to a survey by the American Research Group. A total of 45% of likely voters say they would vote for Bush if the presidential election were being held today and 45% say they would vote for Kerry. A total of 5% of likely voters say they would vote for Ralph Nader and 5% of likely voters are undecided.
In a race between just Bush and Kerry, Kerry is at 48%, Bush is at 46%, and 6% are undecided.
These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in Oregon. Of the 600 likely voters, 37% are registered as Republicans, 40% are registered as Democrats, and 23% are registered with a minor party or no party. The interviews were conducted May 3 through 5, 2004. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.