ARG Oregon Poll--Kerry 45%. Bush 45%, Nader 5%

Kathleen04

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Fri May-07-04 10:41 PM
Original message

ARG Oregon Poll--Kerry 45%. Bush 45%, Nader 5%

Edited on Fri May-07-04 10:42 PM by Kathleen04

"George W. Bush and John Kerry are tied at 45% each in Oregon. Ralph Nader is at 5%. Without Nader on the ballot, Kerry is at 48% and Bush is at 46%. Details from the survey conducted May 3-5 are at:

http://americanresearchgroup.com/or/"

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unblock

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Fri May-07-04 10:45 PM
Response to Original message

1. oregonians: is this bs? why is oregon even in play?

gore won, and now shrub is tied with kerry? is it shrub's environment-gutting policies that are winning votes for him there?

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Kathleen04

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Fri May-07-04 10:55 PM
Response to Reply #1

4. It was very close in 2000 too

Gore: 720,342 (47.1%)
Bush: 713,577 (46.6%)
Nader: 77,357 (5.1%)

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sfwriter

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Fri May-07-04 10:46 PM
Response to Original message

2. You think a Nader vote = a lost Kerry vote?

It does not. Kerry voters appear to be Kerry HATERS as near as I can tell.

Just look at some of the replies here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x520155

They dislike Kerry nearly as much as Bush.

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onehandle

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Fri May-07-04 10:49 PM
Response to Original message

3. Yawn...

Let's talk after labor day.

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Leilani

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Fri May-07-04 11:20 PM
Response to Reply #3

5. I wish I had your confidence!

I saw an analysis of 2000 vs today.

Bush has lost popularity since then, & will probably get less votes. However, Kerry is not as well liked as Gore, & will get less votes.

Problem is, the Bush votes have not moved to Kerry & the Gore votes have not moved to Bush. That means there are many unhappy campers. Will they stay home, or go Nader, or other 3rd party?

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