Ohio ARG poll: Kerry 49 Bush 42 Nader 2

John Kerry leads George W. Bush among likely voters in Ohio
according to a survey by the American Research Group. A total
of 49% of likely voters say they would vote for Kerry if the
presidential election were being held today and 42% say they
would vote for Bush. A total of 2% of likely voters say they
would vote for Ralph Nader and 7% of likely voters are
undecided.

In a race between just Kerry and Bush, Kerry is at 50%, Bush
is at 43%, and 7% are undecided.

These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews
among a statewide random sample of likely voters in Ohio. Of
the 600 likely voters, 38% consider themselves to be
Republicans, 40% consider themselves to be Democrats, and 22%
consider themselves to be independents. The interviews were
conducted May 10 through 12, 2004. The theoretical margin of
error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4
percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion
is evenly split.

Ohio likely voters  May 12

George W. Bush 	42%
John Kerry 	49%
Ralph Nader 	2%
Undecided 	7%

 

Kerry does better among Democrats than Bush does among
Republicans and Kerry has a 5 percentage-point lead among
self-described independents.

Party 	Republicans(38%) Democrats(40%) Independents(22%)

George W. Bush 	80% 	6% 	43%
John Kerry 	9% 	87% 	48%
Ralph Nader 	2% 	2% 	2%
Undecided 	9% 	5% 	7%


http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/ohg 

Also, look at the favoribility ratings, all the people who
haven't yet decided whether to like Kerry, already decided
they don't like Bush:



Awareness and favorability  
         Aware  	Favorable  	Unfavorable  	Undecided
George W. Bush: 100% 	43% 	52% 	5%
John Kerry: 	97% 	44% 	36% 	17%
Ralph Nader: 	100% 	22% 	63% 	15%

A total of 81% of Republicans and 6% of Democrats say they
have a favorable opinion of Bush, with 88% of Democrats saying
they have an unfavorable opinion of Bush.

A total of 67% of Democrats say they have a favorable opinion
of Kerry, and 71% of Republicans and 6% of Democrats have an
unfavorable opinion of Kerry.

A total of 76% of Republicans and 56% of Democrats have an
unfavorable opinion of Nader.