Bush and Kerry Remain Tied Among Likely Voters in Florida

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/fl/

George W. Bush and John Kerry remain tied among likely voters in Florida according to a survey by the American Research Group. A total of 47% of likely voters say they would vote for Bush if the presidential election were being held today and 46% say they would vote for Kerry. A total of 3% of likely voters say they would vote for Ralph Nader and 4% of likely voters are undecided. In a survey completed in April, Bush was at 46%, Kerry was at 45%, and Nader was at 3%

In a ballot question without Nader, 47% of likely voters say they would vote for Bush and 47% say they would vote for Kerry, with 6% of likely voters undecided. This is unchanged from April.

These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in Florida. Of the 600 likely voters, 40% are Republicans, 44% are Democrats, and 16% are not affiliated with any party or affiliated with a minor party. The interviews were conducted May 17 through 19, 2004. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

rolls? It was probably the entire 44% of democrat voters.

has a very good chance of winning (that's not including any possible Florida shenanigans).