Latest USA Today/CNN Poll Kerry 49% Bush 47%

Nicholas_J

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Mon May-24-04 06:01 PM
Original message

Latest USA Today/CNN Poll Kerry 49% Bush 47%

Edited on Mon May-24-04 06:04 PM by Nicholas_J

USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll results

1. If Massachusetts Senator John Kerry were the Democratic Party's candidate and George W. Bush were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for?

Kerry Bush Neither Other No opinion
Likely Voters
2004 May 21-23 49 47 1 * 3

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/usatodaypolls.htm

Even when a 3 way match up is done, Kerry is 47 % Bush 46 %. This seems to indicate that Nader is also taking votes from Bush, as well as Kerry, but onlt half as many.

SAme results in latest Washington Post poll

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mark414

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Mon May-24-04 06:02 PM
Response to Original message

1. i don't get it

boosh has a 43% approval rating yet 47% of people will vote for him?

i hate these fucking polls, they should be banned.

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spooky3

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Mon May-24-04 06:16 PM
Response to Reply #1

4. The survey reporting the low approval rating (CBS) was of adults, not

Edited on Mon May-24-04 06:21 PM by spooky3

likely voters.

"This poll was conducted among a nationwide random sample of 1,113 adults interviewed by telephone May 20-23, 2004. The error due to sampling could be plus or minus three percentage points for results based on the entire sample. The error for subgroups may be higher. "

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/05/24/opinion/polls/main619346.shtml

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lancdem

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Mon May-24-04 06:25 PM
Response to Reply #1

5. His approval rating in this poll is 47 percent

and that's his share of the vote. Remember, CNN/USA Today polls and WaPo polls are higher than others, so the worst-case scenario for Kerry is a tie or a lead within the margin or error. And since he'll get the bulk of the undecided vote, he's actually doing better than that.

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displacedtexan

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Mon May-24-04 06:03 PM
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2. Likely voters v registered voters

The CBS poll out today (registered voters) has Bush* at 41%, Kerry at 49%.

"Likely voters" (trans. white middle class suburbanites)

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Doosh

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Mon May-24-04 06:07 PM
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3. kerry has not yet begun to fight

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