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Poll fresh from the oven: Obama trails McCain by 10% in state Kerry won by 1% (New Hampshire)

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Quintana-Jones Donating Member (13 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 02:38 PM
Original message
Poll fresh from the oven: Obama trails McCain by 10% in state Kerry won by 1% (New Hampshire)
Edited on Thu May-01-08 02:41 PM by Quintana-Jones
Conducted on April 30th.

The news aren't exactly great for Hillary either, although she keeps it close, trailing McCain by 3%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_presidential_election2
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jakem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 02:44 PM
Response to Original message
1. bit early to worry about NH in the GE i think-

besides, Kerry was local.
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rocktivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 02:45 PM
Response to Original message
2. Head-to-head matchups aren't valid
unless each side has only one head.

:headbang:
rocknation
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 02:47 PM
Original message
We're getting a whole slew of polls today which were completed at the height of the Wright non-issue
issue. Obama has dealt with it. Let's see where he stands in upcoming polls. Nationally Pew, CBS, NBC have him ahead of Hillary even during Wright and Pew and NBC have him beating McCain by a larger margin than Hillary. If you believe all these polls taken during the height of a media frenzy re: Wright and before Obama's denunciation of him then I think you're heading for a fall later on.
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Hoof Hearted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
5. I've never seen a "non-issue" smash the shit out of so many polls before
See, it doesn't MATTER how many times you say non-issue, it IS.
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
3. Rasmussen cooks his numbers
He has an agenda and is not to be trusted.
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Hoof Hearted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
4. LISTENING SUPERDELEGATES? OBAMA = FAIL With house and senate seats to boot.
How many seats would he drag down with him?
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 02:52 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. LISTENING SUPERDELEGATES...
Don't fuck with democracy!
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Windy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 02:58 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. I have heard the Operation Chaos is also working to effect the poll numbers....
I don't listen to the fat blowhard but someone I work with does... take that for what its worth.
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 03:12 PM
Response to Reply #9
14. You listen to Rush too much.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. for one thing it's clear that the SDs prefer Obama
did you see Obama's very high profile endorsement from SD Joe Andrew? He defected from Hillary because he thinks SHE's THE BIG FAIL, and he's a former DNC chair appointed by Clinton. He wrote a very long eloquent letter urging other SDs to go for Obama, and he did it NOW, at the height of the Wright crap. Think he's just a wee bit more influential than YOU? I do.

And in the last 3 days 4 U.S. Reps have endorsed Obama. They clearly would prefer to run with Obama at the top of the ticket, and it's their jobs on the line. How many Reps have endorsed Hill over the past few days? NONE. FAIL.

Lastly, we will almost certainly gain 8+ seats in the House. It's too complicated to bother explaining why to people who don't understand it.
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Forkboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 02:52 PM
Response to Original message
7. Another dead OP. Who will he be later on?!?!?!
Tune in and find out! Same troll time! Same troll station!
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Muttocracy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 03:27 PM
Response to Reply #7
15. :-D
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BlueIdaho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 02:54 PM
Response to Original message
8. Welcome to DU the general election is in November.
Please check back later.
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 02:59 PM
Response to Original message
10. Mind telling me what the S&P 500 will be at on November 4, 2008?
I'd love to know who wins the World Series as well.
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NNN0LHI Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 03:06 PM
Response to Original message
11. If Gore had won New Hampshire Florida would have been meaningless
http://www.opinionjournal.com/cc/?id=110010793

New Hampshire Blues

Massachusetts refugees aren't behind the state's liberal drift.

<snip>But it's not just a year's worth of statistics. Democrats have won five of the past six gubernatorial elections and have carried the state in every presidential election since 1992, except for 2000. That year, Mr. Bush won the state by 7,211 votes as Ralph Nader took in 22,198 votes. Exit polls revealed that about half of his voters would have voted for Al Gore had Mr. Nader not been on the ballot. Republicans haven't had a lock on the state for quite some time.

Political scientist Dean Spiliotes, formerly of St. Anselm College in Manchester, N.H., looks back to 2000 and says, "That was the first sign that New Hampshire might start to trend blue, and every election since then has generally reinforced that shift, especially the 2006 midterm election."

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Vinca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 03:11 PM
Response to Original message
13. So how many people do you suppose know McCain is proposing
to do away with employer provided health insurance? Hardly any. We need to be campaigning against him. Between the insurance thing and his love of trade agreements, he should tank. And, of course, there's that war thing, too.
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stray cat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-01-08 04:16 PM
Response to Original message
16. McCain is toast and can't win the nomination - except that he did when people voted
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