51% of Democratic voters think Obama will get nomination; down from 69% a month ago

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080501/pl_nm/usa_politics_poll_dc;_ylt=AjG.oU9bfe1zW.YBFjoJtnAXr7sF

Obama hurt by furor over ex pastor: polls

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama's loss in the Pennsylvania primary and the political firestorm over his former pastor have cut into his lead over rival Hillary Clinton among Democratic voters, according to polls released on Wednesday.

According to a New York Times/CBS News poll, 51 percent of Democratic voters now say they expect Obama to win their party's nomination. That's an 18 point-slide from a month ago when 69 percent said they expected Obama to take on Republican John McCain in the November presidential election.

The latest survey found that 48 percent of Democrats believe Obama, an Illinois senator, has a better chance of beating McCain than Clinton, a New York senator, versus 56 percent a month ago.

The poll was conducted Friday through Tuesday, before Obama strongly denounced his former pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright, for making racially charged comments that roiled the Illinois senator's presidential campaign.

Obama's campaign was engulfed by the Wright controversy after a nearly 10-point loss to Clinton in the Pennsylvania primary early this month.

The Times/CBS poll also found that Democrats see no early end to the Obama-Clinton battle. About 70 percent of Democratic voters predict that their party's nominee will not be decided before the party's national nominating convention in August, the newspaper said.

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And polling better among independents.

Among other things. But the headline is all about Obama losing support among "white working class" Dems. Looking at the crosstabs it was a 635 sample of which I suppose 30% would be white working class? So two hundred white working class people polled nationwide, about half from Red States? Sigh.

Anyway the good news:

"On the other hand, this poll has another piece of information that would show Obama to be at least as strong a general-election candidate as Hillary: He wins 52% of independents against John McCain, while she wins only 44%."

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=414

Let's all get behind Barack Obama, our party's nominee.

"We must all hang together, or we shall assuredly hang separately"
- Dr. Ben Franklin

:eyes:

Some victory.

I can wait until Tuesday to find out the 'real' numbers

Wonder what the February voters now think of the O, don't hear of anyone fainting anymore, more like a pass than a pass out

As it refers to what people think will happen rather than what they want to happen. So when the nearly inevitable happens - Obama wins the nomination - the media that created the "51% chance" perspective will be calling a 15th round come-from-behind victory. Much more exciting this way!

He's still going to get the nomination.

Thanks Brutus, er Hillary

He's going to be the nominee. Smart People! :)

A similar thing happened... back in oh, 1992... http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9E0CE1DA133FF933A25757C0A964958260&sec=&spon=&pagewanted=all