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USA Today/Gallup Poll: Flap over pastor hurts Obama-Clinton 51% -Obama 44%

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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:38 AM
Original message
USA Today/Gallup Poll: Flap over pastor hurts Obama-Clinton 51% -Obama 44%
Edited on Mon May-05-08 07:00 AM by DemocratSinceBirth
Barack Obama's national standing has been significantly damaged by the controversy over his former pastor, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, raising questions for some voters about the Illinois senator's values, credibility and electability.
The erosion of support among Democrats and independents raises the stakes in Tuesday's Indiana and North Carolina primaries, which represent a chance for Obama to reassert his claim to a Democratic nomination that seems nearly in his grasp. A defeat in Indiana and a close finish in North Carolina, where he's favored, could fuel unease about his ability to win in November. Such results also could help propel Hillary Rodham Clinton's uphill campaign all the way to the Democratic convention in August.

In the USA TODAY survey, taken Thursday through Saturday, Clinton leads Obama among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents by 7 percentage points, the first time in three months she has been ahead. Two weeks ago, before the controversy over comments by Jeremiah Wright reignited, Obama led by 10 points.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-05-04-obama_N.htm

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Freedom Train Donating Member (479 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:42 AM
Response to Original message
1. K&R for the Cold Hard Truth!
Still supporting Obama at this point is tantamount to aiding and abetting McCain.
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Catch22Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:44 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. Support for Obama = Support for McCain?
Wow, you're quite fucking delusional, aren't you?
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Freedom Train Donating Member (479 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:52 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. In practice, yes.
Since Obama will lose the GE if he is nominated. As for your insults, they are to be expected from his supporters, so I can't be moved to take offense. You can't even open your mouth without letting the insults fly at people with differing opinions anymore, a sure sign your ship is sinking. I can only ask, are you going to go down with it, or will you get in line behind the only candidate we have who can beat McCain while there's still time?
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Catch22Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:58 AM
Response to Reply #6
11. Your "opinion" is nothing more than an insult of your own
You cannot pretend otherwise. It also lacks NO basis in fact as neither of us know how viable Clinton OR Obama will be in the GE, but I think they both can win.
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Freedom Train Donating Member (479 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:00 AM
Response to Reply #11
16. It "lacks no basis in fact"?
I agree with you! And the OP has the facts!
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:59 AM
Response to Reply #6
13. put down the faux crystal ball and think.
The unknown variables that will effect the election outcome in November are myriad, making any absolutist prediction utter nonsense. It's merely your opinion that Obama can't win, and one not rooted in facts. It is my opinion that Obama is more electable than Hillary. I can only ask: Are you going down with Hillary's ship or will you support the likely nominee who has a better chance?
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Freedom Train Donating Member (479 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:08 AM
Response to Reply #13
22. I will support whomever is still standing come September
In the meantime, I'll work to have that person be the one who has the best chances of beating McCain. And that ain't Obama, let me tell you.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:11 AM
Response to Reply #22
25. LOL. This isn't going to the convention.
one way or another, one of them will have the 2024 they need no later than the middle of June, and the loser will drop out and support the winner. Glad to hear you'll support Obama if, as is likely, he's the nominee.
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rg302200 Donating Member (495 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:39 AM
Response to Reply #6
57. Funny how the majority of people
think Hillary will lose the GE if she is nominated....both are just opinions, the truth is harder to ignore. Hillary is running like a rethug and you can't deny that!
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:47 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. that's absurd. Polls are all over the map, as anyone who follows them knows
The new CBS/NYT poll shows something quite different. And supporting either Hillary or Obama does not equate to aiding or abetting McCain. What does aid McCain is the prolonged primary. And that's no one's fault.
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Freedom Train Donating Member (479 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:57 AM
Response to Reply #4
10. If the prologed primary is all negative,
and not even Dean agrees with you on that, then it's Obama's fault at this point. If you want to call for him to drop out, then be my guest.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:04 AM
Response to Reply #10
20. Unflagging partisanship is a poor ingredient for analysis.
Quite wrong about Dean, who has been sounding the alarm about the damage being done by the prolonged primary for some time now. It's wrong to mischaracterize the guv. And of course, outside of simply stating with no rationale whatsoever that it's Obama's fault- you provide nothing. And that is no argument at all. And where on earth did you get the idea that I wanted to call on Obama to drop out? Thin air, evidently. I don't do stupid. And callling for either to drop out at this point is stupid. Feel free to pursue that if you so desire.
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Freedom Train Donating Member (479 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:11 AM
Response to Reply #20
26. Dean made the case for why this long primary process benefits us
on the Daily Show a few days ago. That's also where he said Florida and Michigan will be seated.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:21 AM
Response to Reply #26
33. First of all, Dean has said repeatedly that up to a certain point
the primary process has been good. Secondly, he's said all along that Michigan and Florida will be seated. It's clear they will be- but it won't make any difference. The nominee will be apparent before the convention, and the convention as usual will be a formality.
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durrrty libby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:20 AM
Response to Reply #1
32. Agree 100%.
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Catch22Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:43 AM
Response to Original message
2. If people judged me by what my friends and family said
Edited on Mon May-05-08 06:44 AM by Catch22Dem
They'd get a mixed bag of opinions. I have a racist grandma, a libertarian dad, a hippie mom, a conservative grandpa, a farmer uncle, a democratic aunt, etc... They're ALL outspoken.

Regardless, I don't buy this poll. Obama is going to win tomorrow, and we MIGHT get to put this thing to bed as long as Hillary catches on to the fact that she can't win via the contests, and the party isn't going to GIVE it to her at the convention. Fuck, we'd all go broke trying to fund her GE campaign. She can't raise money.
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Triana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:53 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. The way she's mismanaged her campaign/budget - I don't think I want her running the
country's budget. She'd be as big a disaster as bu$h.
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leftynyc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:58 AM
Response to Reply #8
37. The it's a good thing that congress
has the pursestrings, isn't it.
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Iceburg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:02 AM
Response to Reply #2
18. Your examples are ALL family members -- you didn't choose them /nt
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Catch22Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:08 AM
Response to Reply #18
23. How about co-workers and friends
My best friend is a full-on O'Reilly watching conservative. I'm surrounded by them at work, yet we're still close. I just don't share their opinion.

So, wanna give it another try now?
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Triana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:52 AM
Response to Original message
5. If the lamestream media harped on Hagee as much as they have on Wright...
...McSame wouldn't be doing so hot either.

First they stab the man politically then marvel at the blood.

DISCOUNT the black voters, COUNT the black pastors!

COUNT the white voters, DISCOUNT the white pastors


and so it goes...

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Yossariant Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:52 AM
Response to Original message
7. Down by 17 in two weeks?! No wonder they're sounding so desperate here today.
:woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo:
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bowens43 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:01 AM
Response to Reply #7
17. sounds to me like it's the hillbots who are desperate.
Tommorow , Obama puts the final two nails in hillary's political coffin.
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leftofcool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:58 AM
Response to Reply #7
38. They have been sounding desperate since Pennsylvania
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stevietheman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:18 AM
Response to Reply #38
63. Not me... I know Obama is the nominee based on the math that hasn't changed since Pa. n/t
n/t
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Connie_Corleone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:54 AM
Response to Original message
9. This one has him losing ground, The CBS poll has him rebounding.
Feh.
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Triana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:03 AM
Response to Reply #9
19. Yea I noticed that. One has to wonder how much of this is so much propaganda
not that the lamestream media would ever do THAT! :sarcasm:
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gaiilonfong Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 06:58 AM
Response to Original message
12. LMAO
Hillary NEOCON Clinton is an abomination
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Vinca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:00 AM
Response to Original message
14. Yep, make sure to catch Hill on Morning Joe - he's calling her his
girlfriend again. The good news for the Clinton campaign is, if denied the Democratic nomination, she can immediately switch to the Republican race and not miss a beat.
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bowens43 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:00 AM
Response to Original message
15. and yet he's kicking hillarys ass everywhere that it counts.
Imagine that!
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Kitty Herder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:04 AM
Response to Original message
21. What the corporate owned media wants, the corporate owned media gets.
They decide what people think for them.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:11 AM
Response to Original message
24. Well, looks like we have warring polls in the CBS one and USA Today
Both with wildly different results.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:15 AM
Response to Reply #24
29. Yeah
Gallup's poll that they do for themselves show a 49-45 Obama edge. That's an eleven point difference from the poll they did for USA-Today...That happened before...The folks at Gallup said they had no rational explanation...
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:18 AM
Response to Reply #29
30. But this is the one the MSM will be highlighting all day today and tomorrow
Forget daily tracking, Times/CBS, delegate math...the "horse race" is good for business.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:20 AM
Response to Reply #29
31. The reason I like the CBS poll, is because it matches the trend of Gallp and Rasmussen
It's much more friendly to Obama in that they have him up 11 over McCain while down in Gallup and Rasmussen, but both those polls have been moving in Obama's favor the past couple days.
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:11 AM
Response to Original message
27. Polls, schmolls
The nomination belongs to Obama.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:12 AM
Response to Original message
28. Just A Brief Note
Self professed educated folks should be able to discuss the results of a poll without hurling random insults.
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Maribelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:09 AM
Response to Reply #28
43. What they are showing off with the random insults as on this thread, however ....
is that they are afraid their candidate will not win. Should they have total confidence that Obama had 'closed the deal' on this, they would be attempting to heal the great chasm they've created with their non-stop bashing and hate-Hillary pomp - - for this will truly need to be done should anyone hope a democrat will win in the GE.

The continuation of their dirty insulting based on zero facts is a significant thermometer of their lack of confidence. Therefore, expect the level of insults, and the instantaneous trashing of any thread positive for Hillary to dramatically increase today.
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hokies4ever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:24 AM
Response to Original message
34. PANIC!!!!! (hehe)
OR NOT! I just remembered that we're not having a national primary tomorrow. Looks like the Clinton machine is about to be shut down anytime now.
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Historic NY Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:26 AM
Response to Original message
35. It all about "Operation Kaos"......look at the kooky polling.....
going on it an engineered campaign to have an engineered nominee.
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jordi_fanclub Donating Member (388 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:38 AM
Response to Original message
36. Another PIECE-OF-SH!T of a "poll"...
Exactly from the SAME text you quote:

In the national survey, Clinton now leads the Democratic presidential contest, 51%-44%, a reversal from two weeks ago. Obama's standing among Democrats and Democratic leaners has dropped 6 points; Clinton's is up 11.

However, those findings differ from a separate Gallup tracking poll of voters, which shows Obama with a narrow lead, 49%-45%. The daily tracking poll has a margin of error of +/-3 points; the USA TODAY poll's margin of error is +/-5 points.


BTW, consulting the USA TODAY poll results I CANNOT find ANY 51-44 result!!!
Check yourself: http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-05-04-polltable_N.htm?loc=interstitialskip
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npincus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:58 AM
Response to Original message
39. the "flap" is the MSM raising it every 10 seconds.
Edited on Mon May-05-08 07:59 AM by npincus
the doggie ain't dropping its bone.
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Maribelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 07:59 AM
Response to Original message
40. Obama 'Significantly Hurt' by Wright
Edited on Mon May-05-08 08:31 AM by Maribelle

http://www.talkleft.com/story/2008/5/5/15812/47818

I couldn't agree more with comment #18 by diplomatic:

Obama's flaws have been exposed and they are close to fatal for general election chances regardless of how the rest of the nomination process plays out. The Republicans probably have the entire attack plan all set to go and they will enjoy it.
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IsItJustMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:06 AM
Response to Original message
41. This post is nothing more than an attempt at spin. And a bad one at that.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:08 AM
Response to Reply #41
42. I Resent Your Ad Hominem Attack On Me For Merely Citing A Poll
Edited on Mon May-05-08 08:10 AM by DemocratSinceBirth
But then feel better about myself when I see the attack comes from someone like you...

Kisses,

DSB
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totodeinhere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:27 AM
Response to Reply #42
66. But why did you only cite that poll and not the CBS poll that shows O up by 12 points?
This is not an ad hominem attack. But I am questioning your fairness. You cherry picked one poll that is favorable to your candidate while ignoring other polls that are not favorable to your candidate. That's just plain wrong.

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/05/04/opinion/polls/main4069259.shtml
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ampad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:35 AM
Response to Reply #66
68. Thank you
I think it is pretty obvious why.
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Hawkeye-X Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:42 AM
Response to Reply #42
69. I think you're posting an ancient poll.


This is yesterday's Gallup. It looks like he rebounded nicely - and I expect a even higher number today.
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:09 AM
Response to Reply #41
44. Obama's Faith Based Charity agenda has always
Edited on Mon May-05-08 08:12 AM by mac2
bothered me. I believe in the Constitution and the separation clause. Seems he does not. His association with Wright is not a new thing bringing in religion to his agenda as a Senator representing a democracy.

I don't need a poll to tell me it is a problem for him.
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aquarius dawning Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:10 AM
Response to Reply #41
45. Isn't that true of every post in GD primaries?
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Maribelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:11 AM
Response to Reply #41
46. Spin? Bad? Perhaps you need more sleep. Your hallucinations might be getting the best of your ...
judgment.

That, or something else is.
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Blondbostonian Donating Member (298 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:15 AM
Response to Reply #46
48. I can't wait for your meltdown
I don't care if you stay home in November either. A patethic "Hillbot" who only knows talking points and nothing else.
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Maribelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:19 AM
Response to Reply #48
51. Ha ha ha
Edited on Mon May-05-08 08:21 AM by Maribelle
Whatever you do, please don't hold your breath.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:21 AM
Original message
I Can't Believe People Are Fighting Over A Poll
A poll?????
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:14 AM
Response to Original message
47. Once again corporate media trying to tell us who our candidate should be
Edited on Mon May-05-08 08:14 AM by high density
No thanks, we did that in 2004 and got shafted.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:16 AM
Response to Reply #47
49. But CBS-NYT Has Obama Ahead By A Larger Margin
These are just polls...Everybody needs to relax...

When someone cites a poll favorable to Obama I just stay out of it...
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:19 AM
Response to Reply #49
50. They are just polls but the media is acting like they override our votes
And that really pisses me off.
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BigDDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:41 AM
Response to Reply #47
58. What about the polls that show Obama ahead?
"corporate media trying to tell us who our candidate should be?"
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rg302200 Donating Member (495 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:44 AM
Response to Reply #58
60. Thats the key word "polls" as in more than one
Every poll I have seen in the past two days has Obama way ahead, except for that crazy right wing poll I saw somewhere on here earlier today. My only concern with this poll is that it goes against what all the others show....Obama running away with the whole thing. I would be curious as to the sample size and make up of this poll.
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:21 AM
Response to Original message
52. How does Gallup explain its daily tracking poll that shows Obama rebounding


Ridiculous!

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Maribelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:30 AM
Response to Reply #52
54. Is a strong and decisive leader: Hillary 53 % Obama 37 %
What this country needs the very most today is a strong and decisive leader - one that will immediately spearhead turning around of all the issues vital to most Americans. Obama does not have what this takes. Hillary does.
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:31 AM
Response to Reply #54
55. Hillary is a despicable and divisive leader, who lies. n/t
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Maribelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:43 AM
Response to Reply #55
59. As you can see - the majority totally disagree with your pomp.
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:46 AM
Response to Reply #59
61. As you can see, USA Today most likely has a bad poll on its hands
A caveat: USA Today points out that the separate Gallup tracking poll, taken over the same period but with more respondents and only a three percent margin of error, puts Obama ahead 49%-45%.

link


Doesn't matter, it's still over.

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Maribelle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 10:20 AM
Response to Reply #61
70. Your link to a hate-Hillary site proves what?
The four percentage point advantage for Obama is not statistically significant in the Gallop daily tracking poll.

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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:23 AM
Response to Original message
53. another poll today and tomorrow another
nothing will be known until the last vote is counted
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:36 AM
Response to Original message
56. Even USA Today doesn't have confidence in the results.
A caveat: USA Today points out that the separate Gallup tracking poll, taken over the same period but with more respondents and only a three percent margin of error, puts Obama ahead 49%-45%.

link
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:54 AM
Response to Original message
62. The country is starting to (rightly) realize that Obama is unelectable. n/t
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stevietheman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:20 AM
Response to Reply #62
64. Well, Obama is the nominee. n/t
n/t
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ruggerson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:20 AM
Response to Original message
65. How strange - DRUDGE does not have this poll up in red letters
Matter of fact he is completely ignoring this poll.

Gee, I wonder why?
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noisyanimal Donating Member (11 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:29 AM
Response to Original message
67. McCain leads Obama by 1%. Clinton tops McCain by 5%
I can't believe how exaggerated yesterday's NYT poll was. They should be ashamed.
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