Obama wins if he takes 79 or more delegates tomorrow.

WeDidIt

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Mon May-05-08 09:26 AM
Original message

Obama wins if he takes 79 or more delegates tomorrow.

Edited on Mon May-05-08 09:28 AM by IWantAnyDem

Obama needs only 42% of the remaining delegates to win. Conversely, Clinton requires 61% of the remaining delegates to win.

If Obama gets only 79 delegates on Tuesday, he's on track to win because that 42% of the delegates up for grabs. If he takes more, the percentage of the remaining delegates required for him to win will decrease.

Conversely, anything less than 114 delegates for Hillary tomorrow is a loss. Anything less than 114 delegates means the required percentage of remaining delegates increases for her.

It's the math, stupid.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

sfam

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Mon May-05-08 09:31 AM
Response to Original message

1. Yet another Elitist math poster...yeah...like we really care about math!!!

Give me a break. Delegates don't matter. Its all about the "perception of the moment". We don't need no stinkin math....

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

WeDidIt

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Mon May-05-08 09:32 AM
Response to Reply #1

2. .

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

rniel

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Mon May-05-08 09:46 AM
Response to Reply #1

3. re

Edited on Mon May-05-08 09:47 AM by rniel

Yeah you darned egghead liberals and all your fancy numbers and stuff. :P

It's going to be HUGGH!! I'M SERIES!!

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

PseudoIntellect

(701 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Mon May-05-08 09:49 AM
Response to Reply #1

4. Yeah, how you perceive the moment is how it goes.

So what if it takes 15 Ohios to tie the front-runner? It only really FEELS like it takes 2!

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

rocktivity

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Mon May-05-08 09:49 AM
Response to Original message

5. Here's what Hillary needs to do percentage-of-the-vote-wise

Edited on Mon May-05-08 09:51 AM by rocknation

in ALL the remaining contests (less than 69% of the vote DOESN'T help her):

43-point or more margin of victory = blowout

38 - 42 points = a "real" win

30 - 37 points = good, but not good enough

11 � 29 points = a wash

5 - 10 points = useless

1 - 4 points = concession speech

:headbang:
rocknation

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

WeDidIt

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Mon May-05-08 10:33 AM
Response to Reply #5

6. Proportional Delegate Allocation is Clinton's biggest enemy

After ignoring the post-Super Tuesday contests, proportional delegate allocaiton has been the greatest enemy of team Clinton. She's had no opportunity to make up the losses she suffered in February.

That's why this has been nothing more than a war of attrition. It's also why I've wondered several times if the tack taken by the Clinton campaign is a coordinated Democratic PArty effort to inoculate Obama against what will be the easiest lines of attack for the Republicans.

I want to believe that, anyway.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

DU AdBot (1000+ posts)

Wed May 15th 2024, 12:20 PM
Response to Original message

Advertisements [?]

Top

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.